TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053290
Played Aug 31Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311611115911811
Mateusz Baran
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1311611115911811
H2H Jakub Cyndera 0–1 Mateusz Baran Jakub Cyndera has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Baran
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1415 vs Baran 1391
Cyndera
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 60% vs Baran 40%
Cyndera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 60% vs Baran 40%
Cyndera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera +2 · Baran -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baran) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baran form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.90 / Baran 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baran)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13053290
Cyndera1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 29 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Baran1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 33 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCyndera0wins
AwayBaran1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBaran leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCynderaBaranC − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.049.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime309 / 556 vs 52 / 9255.6%56.5%309 / 556 vs 52 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.940.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranCyndera 1.90/Baran 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Baran · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera—13611982M. Baran—1111511113
J. Cyndera10
LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113LSep 1 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.46211721M. Machelski2.4711711113WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231WAug 31 · 22:25A. Barton4.7571050J. Cyndera1.141112113WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.341111113A. Staniczek2.905720WAug 31 · 20:50P. Gesiarz2.259911121J. Cyndera1.5711118143WAug 31 · 19:30J. Cyndera1.1471111123D. Maszczynski4.751156101LAug 31 · 18:10A. Staniczek2.3513411113J. Cyndera1.531111581LAug 31 · 16:30J. Zelezik1.46111188113J. Cyndera2.4669111132WAug 31 · 14:50M. Machelski2.959950J. Cyndera1.351111113
M. Baran10
WSep 1 · 02:20M. Machelski2.0511030M. Baran1.681112113WSep 1 · 01:35A. Staniczek1.9515135852M. Baran1.7513111111113LAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231LAug 31 · 22:50J. Zelezik1.5941111113M. Baran2.17115991LAug 31 · 21:15A. Barton3.4011311113M. Baran1.26711791WAug 31 · 19:50M. Machelski2.006990M. Baran1.701111113WAug 31 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.9511771162M. Baran1.33411115113LAug 31 · 16:50A. Staniczek1.9891111113M. Baran1.71119871WAug 31 · 15:30P. Gesiarz1.80111112972M. Baran1.907131011113LAug 31 · 14:10J. Zelezik1.44911311113M. Baran2.5511811762
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