TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053293
Played Aug 31Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
1.98
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119118117––
Mateusz Baran
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeAdam Staniczek to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
911119118117––
H2H Adam Staniczek 1–0 Mateusz Baran Mateusz Baran has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:56What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Baran
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1362 vs Baran 1413
Baran
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 60% vs Baran 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 80% vs Baran 60%
Staniczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek +2 · Baran +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Baran) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 1.98 / Baran 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Baran)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13053293
Staniczek1.98
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 108 of 409
Down 0–1, comes back12% 30 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 193
Baran1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 33 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStaniczek1wins
AwayBaran0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderStaniczek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStaniczekBaranS − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match54.044.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 998 vs 53 / 9336.3%57%362 / 998 vs 53 / 93Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.740.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranStaniczek 1.98/Baran 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Baran · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 9 · 19:40A. Staniczek—11101111113M. Baran—81213652
A. Staniczek10
WSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:25A. Staniczek2.631271161G. Mucha1.4414116113LSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962LSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880WSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113LSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 19:20A. Staniczek2.63311481G. Mucha1.4411411113WSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133LSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770LSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172
M. Baran10
WSep 1 · 02:20M. Machelski2.0511030M. Baran1.681112113WSep 1 · 01:35A. Staniczek1.9515135852M. Baran1.7513111111113LAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231LAug 31 · 22:50J. Zelezik1.5941111113M. Baran2.17115991LAug 31 · 21:15A. Barton3.4011311113M. Baran1.26711791WAug 31 · 19:50M. Machelski2.006990M. Baran1.701111113WAug 31 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.9511771162M. Baran1.33411115113WAug 31 · 15:30P. Gesiarz1.80111112972M. Baran1.907131011113WAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113LAug 31 · 14:10J. Zelezik1.44911311113M. Baran2.5511811762
Upcoming Matches
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