TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13049545
Played Aug 31Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117311117119––
Mateusz Baran
Away
1.26
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeMateusz Baran to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
117311117119––
H2H Aleksander Barton 0–3 Mateusz Baran Aleksander Barton has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:44What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (73%)
Baran
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Baran
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1053 vs Baran 1417
Baran
Wrong
both rated, 364 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 20% vs Baran 80%
Baran
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 10% vs Baran 60%
Baran
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -3 · Baran +2
Barton
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Baran) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 3.40 / Baran 1.26
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Baran)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13049545
Barton3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog16% won 31 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back6% 8 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 111
Baran1.26
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 33 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBarton0wins
AwayBaran3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBaran leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartonn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBaran100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton0Baran3n = 3Baran took 3 of 3
S2Barton2Baran1n = 3Barton took 2 of 3
S3Barton1Baran2n = 3Baran took 2 of 3
S4Barton1Baran2n = 3Baran took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBartonBaranBarton − BaranBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match37.744.0−6.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 355 vs 55 / 9622%57.3%78 / 355 vs 55 / 96Avg sets wonper match1.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match31.340.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranBarton 3.40/Baran 1.26
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.8%
Baran · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 24:45A. Barton—2101161M. Baran—11128113
LAug 6 · 03:55A. Barton—911101152M. Baran—119123113
LAug 5 · 21:55A. Barton—9111171M. Baran—11913113
A. Barton10
LSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112LSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792LSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 4 · 05:05A. Barton2.90791181A. Staniczek1.3511114113LSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113LSep 4 · 02:20A. Barton6.506450Z. Nocun1.071111113LSep 4 · 24:45A. Barton6.505780J. Zelezik1.071111113LSep 3 · 23:30A. Barton4.1275100J. Skorupa1.201111123LSep 2 · 04:40A. Fomin1.091111113A. Barton5.857790
M. Baran10
WSep 1 · 02:20M. Machelski2.0511030M. Baran1.681112113WSep 1 · 01:35A. Staniczek1.9515135852M. Baran1.7513111111113LAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231LAug 31 · 22:50J. Zelezik1.5941111113M. Baran2.17115991WAug 31 · 19:50M. Machelski2.006990M. Baran1.701111113WAug 31 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.9511771162M. Baran1.33411115113LAug 31 · 16:50A. Staniczek1.9891111113M. Baran1.71119871WAug 31 · 15:30P. Gesiarz1.80111112972M. Baran1.907131011113WAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113LAug 31 · 14:10J. Zelezik1.44911311113M. Baran2.5511811762
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