TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13055447
Played Aug 31Finished
Jacek Zelezik
Home
1.59
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411115119119––
Mateusz Baran
Away
2.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Baran to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
411115119119––
H2H Jacek Zelezik 3–1 Mateusz Baran Mateusz Baran has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.59 (58%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelezik 1439 vs Baran 1395
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezik 40% vs Baran 60%
Baran
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezik 50% vs Baran 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezik -1 · Baran -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baran form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezik 1.59 / Baran 2.17
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Zelezik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13055447
Zelezik1.59
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 168 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it83% 135 of 162
Baran2.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 17 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZelezik3wins
AwayBaran1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderZelezik leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezik2Baran2n = 4split evenly
S2Zelezik3Baran1n = 4Zelezik took 3 of 4
S3Zelezik2Baran2n = 4split evenly
S4Zelezik2Baran1n = 3Zelezik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricZelezikBaranZ − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.036.2+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelezikBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 633 vs 55 / 9753.6%56.7%339 / 633 vs 55 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.140.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikZelezik 1.59/Baran 2.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 31 · 14:10J. Zelezik—911311113M. Baran—11811762
WAug 26 · 03:05J. Zelezik—81111113M. Baran—117371
WAug 25 · 21:05J. Zelezik—1711113M. Baran—15880
LJul 20 · 18:30J. Zelezik—125681M. Baran—101111113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132WSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442WSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik2.20711711113G. Mucha1.6111811562LSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162
M. Baran10
WSep 1 · 02:20M. Machelski2.0511030M. Baran1.681112113WSep 1 · 01:35A. Staniczek1.9515135852M. Baran1.7513111111113LAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231LAug 31 · 21:15A. Barton3.4011311113M. Baran1.26711791WAug 31 · 19:50M. Machelski2.006990M. Baran1.701111113WAug 31 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.9511771162M. Baran1.33411115113LAug 31 · 16:50A. Staniczek1.9891111113M. Baran1.71119871WAug 31 · 15:30P. Gesiarz1.80111112972M. Baran1.907131011113WAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113LAug 31 · 14:10J. Zelezik1.44911311113M. Baran2.5511811762
Upcoming Matches
J. Zelezik4 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:50J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 18:55J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 19:40J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik—M. Krutak——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——
M. Baran
Nothing scheduled
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