TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13056062
Played Sep 1Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
15131311511811511
Mateusz Baran
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Staniczek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
15131311511811511
H2H Adam Staniczek 2–1 Mateusz Baran Mateusz Baran has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:25What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Baran
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1345 vs Baran 1388
Baran
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 20% vs Baran 40%
Baran
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 50% vs Baran 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek -1 · Baran -3
Baran
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baran) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baran form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 1.95 / Baran 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baran)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13056062
Staniczek1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 108 of 409
Down 0–1, comes back12% 30 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 193
Baran1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 33 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStaniczek2wins
AwayBaran1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStaniczek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek1Baran2n = 3Baran took 2 of 3
S2Staniczek2Baran1n = 3Staniczek took 2 of 3
S3Staniczek1Baran2n = 3Baran took 2 of 3
S4Staniczek2Baran1n = 3Staniczek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStaniczekBaranS − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match46.040.3+5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 1007 vs 56 / 10036.4%56%366 / 1007 vs 56 / 100Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.640.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranStaniczek 1.95/Baran 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Baran · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 31 · 16:50A. Staniczek—91111113M. Baran—119871
LAug 9 · 22:10A. Staniczek—81113101M. Baran—11415123
WAug 9 · 19:40A. Staniczek—11101111113M. Baran—81213652
A. Staniczek10
WSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:25A. Staniczek2.631271161G. Mucha1.4414116113LSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962LSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880WSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113LSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 19:20A. Staniczek2.63311481G. Mucha1.4411411113WSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133LSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770LSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172
M. Baran10
WSep 1 · 02:20M. Machelski2.0511030M. Baran1.681112113LAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231LAug 31 · 22:50J. Zelezik1.5941111113M. Baran2.17115991LAug 31 · 21:15A. Barton3.4011311113M. Baran1.26711791WAug 31 · 19:50M. Machelski2.006990M. Baran1.701111113WAug 31 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.9511771162M. Baran1.33411115113LAug 31 · 16:50A. Staniczek1.9891111113M. Baran1.71119871WAug 31 · 15:30P. Gesiarz1.80111112972M. Baran1.907131011113WAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113LAug 31 · 14:10J. Zelezik1.44911311113M. Baran2.5511811762
Upcoming Matches
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