TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13055592
Played Aug 31Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.74
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191181012113––
Mateusz Baran
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMateusz Baran to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1191181012113––
H2H Jakub Cyndera 0–1 Mateusz Baran Jakub Cyndera has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:26What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Cyndera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1414 vs Baran 1384
Cyndera
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 80% vs Baran 40%
Cyndera
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 60% vs Baran 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera +4 · Baran -2
Cyndera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baran form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.74 / Baran 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cyndera)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13055592
Cyndera1.74
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 133 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it99% 77 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it90% 103 of 115
Baran1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 17 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCyndera0wins
AwayBaran1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBaran leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCynderaBaranC − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.049.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 562 vs 55 / 9855.7%56.1%313 / 562 vs 55 / 98Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.940.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.74/Baran 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyndera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera—13611982M. Baran—1111511113
J. Cyndera10
LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113LSep 1 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.46211721M. Machelski2.4711711113WAug 31 · 22:25A. Barton4.7571050J. Cyndera1.141112113WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.341111113A. Staniczek2.905720WAug 31 · 20:50P. Gesiarz2.259911121J. Cyndera1.5711118143WAug 31 · 19:30J. Cyndera1.1471111123D. Maszczynski4.751156101LAug 31 · 18:10A. Staniczek2.3513411113J. Cyndera1.531111581LAug 31 · 16:30J. Zelezik1.46111188113J. Cyndera2.4669111132LAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113WAug 31 · 14:50M. Machelski2.959950J. Cyndera1.351111113
M. Baran10
WSep 1 · 02:20M. Machelski2.0511030M. Baran1.681112113WSep 1 · 01:35A. Staniczek1.9515135852M. Baran1.7513111111113LAug 31 · 22:50J. Zelezik1.5941111113M. Baran2.17115991LAug 31 · 21:15A. Barton3.4011311113M. Baran1.26711791WAug 31 · 19:50M. Machelski2.006990M. Baran1.701111113WAug 31 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.9511771162M. Baran1.33411115113LAug 31 · 16:50A. Staniczek1.9891111113M. Baran1.71119871WAug 31 · 15:30P. Gesiarz1.80111112972M. Baran1.907131011113WAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113LAug 31 · 14:10J. Zelezik1.44911311113M. Baran2.5511811762
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