TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13048031
Played Aug 31Finished
Michal Machelski
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911511––––
Jakub Cyndera
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
911911511––––
H2H Michal Machelski 12–26 Jakub Cyndera Michal Machelski has won 12 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (69%)
Cyndera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-26 in 38
Cyndera
Correct
gap of 14 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Machelski 1357 vs Cyndera 1402
Cyndera
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machelski 60% vs Cyndera 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machelski 40% vs Cyndera 60%
Cyndera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machelski +2 · Cyndera +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyndera form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachelski 2.95 / Cyndera 1.35
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Cyndera)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13048031
Machelski2.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 119 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back17% 34 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 117
Cyndera1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 133 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it99% 77 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it90% 103 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachelski5wins
AwayCyndera5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachelski83.3%5 of 6
AwayCyndera100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machelski6Cyndera4n = 10Machelski took 6 of 10
S2Machelski3Cyndera7n = 10Cyndera took 7 of 10
S3Machelski6Cyndera4n = 10Machelski took 6 of 10
S4Machelski3Cyndera2n = 5Machelski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachelskiCynderaM − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.733.6+0.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachelskiCynderaBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 1120 vs 308 / 55436.8%55.6%412 / 1120 vs 308 / 554Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaMachelski 2.95/Cyndera 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.2%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cyndera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 24:45M. Machelski—111011113J. Cyndera—612731
WJul 28 · 24:45M. Machelski—1112113J. Cyndera—91090
WJul 21 · 24:45M. Machelski—1111113J. Cyndera—8270
LJul 14 · 02:20M. Machelski—7490J. Cyndera—1111113
LJul 7 · 24:45M. Machelski—11751142J. Cyndera—611116113
WJun 30 · 02:45M. Machelski—1111113J. Cyndera—7680
LJun 23 · 02:45M. Machelski—891141J. Cyndera—11117113
WJun 15 · 21:35M. Machelski—119813113J. Cyndera—611111192
LJun 15 · 15:35M. Machelski—6360J. Cyndera—1111113
LJun 8 · 21:10M. Machelski—881291J. Cyndera—111110113
M. Machelski10
LSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792WSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113LSep 4 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.83111195113M. Machelski1.8379111182WSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:55M. Machelski2.50115331H. Tkaczyk1.5091111113LSep 3 · 21:45M. Machelski3.50119551M. Guzik1.2871111113LSep 3 · 20:05M. Machelski2.203390A. Krezel1.611111113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.6771111113M. Machelski2.10116861
J. Cyndera10
LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113LSep 1 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.46211721M. Machelski2.4711711113WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231WAug 31 · 22:25A. Barton4.7571050J. Cyndera1.141112113WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.341111113A. Staniczek2.905720WAug 31 · 20:50P. Gesiarz2.259911121J. Cyndera1.5711118143WAug 31 · 19:30J. Cyndera1.1471111123D. Maszczynski4.751156101LAug 31 · 18:10A. Staniczek2.3513411113J. Cyndera1.531111581LAug 31 · 16:30J. Zelezik1.46111188113J. Cyndera2.4669111132LAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera1.9013611982M. Baran1.801111511113
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