TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058068
Played Sep 2Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
2.19
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9118111412811––
Adam Staniczek
Away
1.61
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:03 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Staniczek to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
9118111412811––
H2H Witold Stechly 1–10 Adam Staniczek Witold Stechly has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Staniczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Staniczek
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1122 vs Staniczek 1319
Staniczek
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 40% vs Staniczek 20%
Stechly
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 30% vs Staniczek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -1 · Staniczek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Staniczek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 2.19 / Staniczek 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Staniczek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13058068
Stechly2.19
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 46 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back11% 18 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 106
Staniczek1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite75% won 91 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it88% 68 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly0wins
AwayStaniczek10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStaniczek leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly0%0 of 3
AwayStaniczek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly3Staniczek7n = 10Staniczek took 7 of 10
S2Stechly1Staniczek9n = 10Staniczek took 9 of 10
S3Stechly2Staniczek8n = 10Staniczek took 8 of 10
S4Stechly0Staniczek4n = 4Staniczek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyStaniczekStechly − StaniczekBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match26.337.8−11.5per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 518 vs 365 / 100816.2%36.2%84 / 518 vs 365 / 1008Avg sets wonper match1.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match32.933.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaniczekStechly 2.19/Staniczek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Staniczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 22:40W. Stechly—1110115102A. Staniczek—812211123
LAug 14 · 24:45W. Stechly—4811101A. Staniczek—11118123
LAug 7 · 05:05W. Stechly—8370A. Staniczek—1111113
LJul 24 · 05:05W. Stechly—117531A. Staniczek—71111113
LMay 21 · 05:05W. Stechly—6750A. Staniczek—1111113
LJan 23 · 01:45W. Stechly—8550A. Staniczek—1111113
LJan 16 · 03:20W. Stechly—7540A. Staniczek—1111113
LSep 19 · 05:05W. Stechly—7440A. Staniczek—1111113
LAug 7 · 18:45W. Stechly—12840A. Staniczek—1411113
LJul 17 · 17:30W. Stechly—11139692A. Staniczek—6111111113
W. Stechly10
WSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly2.10114611113A. Barton1.6791111672LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113LSep 3 · 03:05W. Stechly3.40941161K. Gudzik1.2511116113LSep 3 · 01:55W. Stechly3.95311621J. Skorupa1.2011811113LSep 3 · 24:45Z. Nocun1.12117912123W. Stechly4.958111110102LAug 31 · 09:10W. Stechly2.05118781D. Maszczynski1.7071111113
A. Staniczek10
WSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:25A. Staniczek2.631271161G. Mucha1.4414116113LSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962LSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880WSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113LSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 19:20A. Staniczek2.63311481G. Mucha1.4411411113WSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133LSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770LSep 5 · 15:25D. Maszczynski2.75111168113A. Staniczek1.4099111172
Upcoming Matches
W. Stechly
Nothing scheduled
A. Staniczek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.