TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090413
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Zmijewski
Home
1.09
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131161177111210
Witold Stechly
Away
5.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:49 and never touched — 87.2% is still 87.2%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
87.2%
87.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
11131161177111210
H2H Artur Zmijewski 1–0 Witold Stechly Witold Stechly has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.09 (84%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zmijewski 1501 vs Stechly 1105
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 396 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmijewski 60% vs Stechly 20%
Zmijewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmijewski 60% vs Stechly 30%
Zmijewski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmijewski -1 · Stechly +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Zmijewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (60%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmijewski 1.09 / Stechly 5.90
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Zmijewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090413
Zmijewski1.09
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite70% won 47 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Stechly5.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog19% won 45 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back10% 17 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZmijewski1wins
AwayStechly0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZmijewski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZmijewskiStechlyZ − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match52.047.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmijewskiStechlyBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 108 vs 85 / 52759.3%16.1%64 / 108 vs 85 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.21.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.532.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiZmijewski 1.09/Stechly 5.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.2%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski—1111117123W. Stechly—136711102
A. Zmijewski10
LSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113WSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113WSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113WSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 22:00A. Zmijewski1.701191211113C. Pawlik1.9551114772WSep 4 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.801510117113J. Oracz1.90131291192LSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072LSep 4 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.75131114113A. Zmijewski1.951541241
W. Stechly10
LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113LSep 3 · 03:05W. Stechly3.40941161K. Gudzik1.2511116113LSep 3 · 01:55W. Stechly3.95311621J. Skorupa1.2011811113LSep 3 · 24:45Z. Nocun1.12117912123W. Stechly4.958111110102LSep 2 · 23:55W. Stechly2.19981481A. Staniczek1.61111112113LAug 31 · 09:10W. Stechly2.05118781D. Maszczynski1.7071111113WAug 31 · 07:50W. Stechly4.3011411113J. Slawomir1.16611631
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