TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13079712
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Zmijewski
Home
1.46
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141181311––––
Artur Kubiak
Away
2.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1141181311––––
H2H Artur Zmijewski 3–3 Artur Kubiak Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zmijewski 1495 vs Kubiak 1378
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmijewski 40% vs Kubiak 60%
Kubiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmijewski 60% vs Kubiak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmijewski +2 · Kubiak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubiak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmijewski 1.46 / Kubiak 2.47
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Zmijewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13079712
Zmijewski1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 40 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Kubiak2.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 68 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZmijewski3wins
AwayKubiak3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmijewski50%2 of 4
AwayKubiakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmijewski4Kubiak2n = 6Zmijewski took 4 of 6
S2Zmijewski2Kubiak4n = 6Kubiak took 4 of 6
S3Zmijewski4Kubiak2n = 6Zmijewski took 4 of 6
S4Zmijewski2Kubiak1n = 3Zmijewski took 2 of 3
S5Zmijewski1Kubiak2n = 3Kubiak took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricZmijewskiKubiakZ − KBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.338.2+3.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmijewskiKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 101 vs 524 / 93558.4%56%59 / 101 vs 524 / 935Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiZmijewski 1.46/Kubiak 2.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.6%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 4 · 17:10A. Zmijewski—119111192A. Kubiak—811139113
WAug 30 · 21:45A. Zmijewski—1111113A. Kubiak—9380
LAug 30 · 17:45A. Zmijewski—8890A. Kubiak—1111113
LAug 10 · 21:10A. Zmijewski—159117112A. Kubiak—1311411133
WAug 9 · 24:25A. Zmijewski—1111123A. Kubiak—94100
WAug 8 · 20:45A. Zmijewski—1081211113A. Kubiak—121110792
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102LSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113WSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113WSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113WSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 22:00A. Zmijewski1.701191211113C. Pawlik1.9551114772WSep 4 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.801510117113J. Oracz1.90131291192LSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072LSep 4 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.75131114113A. Zmijewski1.951541241
A. Kubiak10
LSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113LSep 5 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.441111113A. Kubiak2.605660WSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.551111113A. Kubiak2.253350LSep 4 · 19:35A. Kubiak2.9051260J. Oracz1.351114113WSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek1.71911101192A. Kubiak2.00116124113WSep 4 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.44119111192A. Kubiak2.55811139113WSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak1.576970A. Kubiak2.251111113LAug 31 · 01:45Z. Nocun1.91151113113A. Kubiak1.801361521
Upcoming Matches
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