TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078460
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Zmijewski
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189111113119911
Artur Kubiak
Away
2.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
1189111113119911
H2H Artur Zmijewski 3–2 Artur Kubiak Artur Kubiak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (64%)
Zmijewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zmijewski 1506 vs Kubiak 1353
Zmijewski
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmijewski 80% vs Kubiak 40%
Zmijewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmijewski 60% vs Kubiak 40%
Zmijewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmijewski +3 · Kubiak +1
Zmijewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmijewski 1.44 / Kubiak 2.55
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Zmijewski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13078460
Zmijewski1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 40 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Kubiak2.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 68 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZmijewski3wins
AwayKubiak2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderZmijewski leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmijewski66.7%2 of 3
AwayKubiakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmijewski3Kubiak2n = 5Zmijewski took 3 of 5
S2Zmijewski2Kubiak3n = 5Kubiak took 3 of 5
S3Zmijewski4Kubiak1n = 5Zmijewski took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricZmijewskiKubiakZ − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.435.4+4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmijewskiKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 96 vs 521 / 93059.4%56%57 / 96 vs 521 / 930Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiZmijewski 1.44/Kubiak 2.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kubiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 30 · 21:45A. Zmijewski—1111113A. Kubiak—9380
LAug 30 · 17:45A. Zmijewski—8890A. Kubiak—1111113
LAug 10 · 21:10A. Zmijewski—159117112A. Kubiak—1311411133
WAug 9 · 24:25A. Zmijewski—1111123A. Kubiak—94100
WAug 8 · 20:45A. Zmijewski—1081211113A. Kubiak—121110792
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102LSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113WSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113WSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113WSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 22:00A. Zmijewski1.701191211113C. Pawlik1.9551114772WSep 4 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.801510117113J. Oracz1.90131291192
A. Kubiak10
LSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113LSep 5 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.441111113A. Kubiak2.605660LSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.551111113A. Kubiak2.253350LSep 4 · 19:35A. Kubiak2.9051260J. Oracz1.351114113WSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek1.71911101192A. Kubiak2.00116124113WSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak1.576970A. Kubiak2.251111113LAug 31 · 01:45Z. Nocun1.91151113113A. Kubiak1.801361521
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.