TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078855
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Kubiak
Home
2.90
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111214611––––
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 72.6% is still 72.6%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
72.6%
72.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
5111214611––––
H2H Artur Kubiak 28–56 Jacek Oracz Artur Kubiak has won 28 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-56 in 84
Oracz
Correct
gap of 28 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubiak 1379 vs Oracz 1526
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubiak 60% vs Oracz 40%
Kubiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubiak 50% vs Oracz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubiak +3 · Oracz -1
Kubiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubiak 2.90 / Oracz 1.35
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Oracz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13078855
Kubiak2.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 68 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Oracz1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 295 of 413
Up 2–0, closes it98% 186 of 189
Up 1–0, closes it87% 240 of 275
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubiak4wins
AwayOracz6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubiak75%3 of 4
AwayOracz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubiak4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S2Kubiak4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Kubiak4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Kubiak4Oracz5n = 9Oracz took 5 of 9
S5Kubiak2Oracz1n = 3Kubiak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubiakOraczK − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.442.1−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubiakOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime523 / 932 vs 647 / 90056.1%71.9%523 / 932 vs 647 / 900Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczKubiak 2.90/Oracz 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 02:00A. Kubiak—111166113J. Oracz—69111162
LAug 22 · 16:25A. Kubiak—881171J. Oracz—11116113
LAug 17 · 01:45A. Kubiak—91351182J. Oracz—1111116113
WAug 16 · 16:15A. Kubiak—1011811113J. Oracz—12911782
LJul 19 · 24:45A. Kubiak—611791J. Oracz—11711113
WJul 18 · 18:45A. Kubiak—11911133J. Oracz—9118111
LJul 18 · 24:45A. Kubiak—71111101J. Oracz—11137123
LJul 17 · 18:45A. Kubiak—7550J. Oracz—1111113
WJul 12 · 24:25A. Kubiak—11711113J. Oracz—911881
LJul 11 · 20:45A. Kubiak—205371J. Oracz—181111113
A. Kubiak10
LSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113LSep 5 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.441111113A. Kubiak2.605660LSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.551111113A. Kubiak2.253350WSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek1.71911101192A. Kubiak2.00116124113WSep 4 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.44119111192A. Kubiak2.55811139113WSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak1.576970A. Kubiak2.251111113LAug 31 · 01:45Z. Nocun1.91151113113A. Kubiak1.801361521
J. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113WSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113WSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113
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