TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080691
Played Sep 5Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511117117116––
Artur Kubiak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:39 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeDawid Pyrek to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
511117117116––
H2H Dawid Pyrek 10–9 Artur Kubiak Artur Kubiak has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Pyrek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1332 vs Kubiak 1355
Kubiak
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 40% vs Kubiak 20%
Pyrek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 20% vs Kubiak 40%
Kubiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek -2 · Kubiak -3
Kubiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pyrek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 1.60 / Kubiak 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pyrek)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13080691
Pyrek1.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 101 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it79% 80 of 101
Kubiak2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 68 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePyrek5wins
AwayKubiak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrek83.3%5 of 6
AwayKubiak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek6Kubiak4n = 10Pyrek took 6 of 10
S2Pyrek4Kubiak6n = 10Kubiak took 6 of 10
S3Pyrek4Kubiak6n = 10Kubiak took 6 of 10
S4Pyrek3Kubiak5n = 8Kubiak took 5 of 8
S5Pyrek3Kubiak1n = 4Pyrek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPyrekKubiakP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.7−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 776 vs 524 / 93849%55.9%380 / 776 vs 524 / 938Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PyrekPyrek 1.60/Kubiak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Pyrek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pyrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek—911101192A. Kubiak—116124113
WNov 29 · 21:45D. Pyrek—11913113A. Kubiak—8111151
LOct 12 · 24:45D. Pyrek—711981A. Kubiak—11611113
WOct 11 · 18:45D. Pyrek—1111113A. Kubiak—6690
LOct 10 · 01:10D. Pyrek—951261A. Kubiak—111110113
LOct 9 · 17:30D. Pyrek—1181031A. Kubiak—81112113
WSep 9 · 02:00D. Pyrek—115135113A. Kubiak—811111172
WSep 8 · 16:25D. Pyrek—113712113A. Kubiak—911111082
LAug 9 · 01:10D. Pyrek—6380A. Kubiak—1111113
WAug 8 · 19:10D. Pyrek—111179123A. Kubiak—381111102
D. Pyrek10
LSep 5 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.45116981C. Pawlik1.2581111113LSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.60741381J. Oracz1.23111111113WSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113LSep 4 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.531211113D. Pyrek2.3810430LSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek1.71911101192A. Kubiak2.00116124113LSep 4 · 16:50D. Pyrek3.6551181122J. Oracz1.22118114113LSep 4 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.6011118113D. Pyrek2.20811181LAug 23 · 02:10D. Pyrek1.8381150K. Malcher1.831113113
A. Kubiak10
LSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113LSep 5 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.441111113A. Kubiak2.605660LSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.551111113A. Kubiak2.253350LSep 4 · 19:35A. Kubiak2.9051260J. Oracz1.351114113WSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek1.71911101192A. Kubiak2.00116124113WSep 4 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.44119111192A. Kubiak2.55811139113WSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak1.576970A. Kubiak2.251111113LAug 31 · 01:45Z. Nocun1.91151113113A. Kubiak1.801361521
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