TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078851
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Krutak
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012911––––
Dawid Pyrek
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Krutak to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
6111012911––––
H2H Michal Krutak 5–3 Dawid Pyrek Dawid Pyrek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Krutak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Krutak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutak 1467 vs Pyrek 1317
Krutak
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutak 60% vs Pyrek 0%
Krutak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutak 60% vs Pyrek 10%
Krutak
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutak +3 · Pyrek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Krutak) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pyrek form (0%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 1.75 / Pyrek 1.95
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Krutak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13078851
Krutak1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 114 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 70 of 87
Pyrek1.95
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog35% won 63 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKrutak5wins
AwayPyrek3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKrutak leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutak100%5 of 5
AwayPyrek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutak5Pyrek3n = 8Krutak took 5 of 8
S2Krutak6Pyrek2n = 8Krutak took 6 of 8
S3Krutak2Pyrek6n = 8Pyrek took 6 of 8
S4Krutak3Pyrek1n = 4Krutak took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricKrutakPyrekK − PBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match39.638.6+1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakPyrekBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 322 vs 380 / 77760.3%48.9%194 / 322 vs 380 / 777Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutakKrutak 1.75/Pyrek 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.9%
Krutak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pyrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 22 · 24:00M. Krutak—111199123D. Pyrek—991111102
LAug 21 · 16:00M. Krutak—1011131592D. Pyrek—1281513113
WAug 8 · 24:00M. Krutak—1111193D. Pyrek—66170
LAug 7 · 16:00M. Krutak—101050D. Pyrek—1212113
WMay 8 · 03:55M. Krutak—1111123D. Pyrek—76100
WMay 7 · 21:55M. Krutak—111113133D. Pyrek—9815111
WJan 14 · 02:30M. Krutak—111111113D. Pyrek—891371
LJan 13 · 20:30M. Krutak—6090D. Pyrek—1111113
M. Krutak10
LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113LSep 4 · 23:35M. Krutak3.0010570J. Oracz1.331211113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113WSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072WSep 4 · 17:35M. Krutak2.60126146113J. Oracz1.411011121182WSep 4 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.60111385102M. Krutak2.157111111123LSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak1.576970A. Kubiak2.251111113LAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
D. Pyrek10
WSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.45116981C. Pawlik1.2581111113LSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.60741381J. Oracz1.23111111113LSep 4 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.531211113D. Pyrek2.3810430LSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek1.71911101192A. Kubiak2.00116124113LSep 4 · 16:50D. Pyrek3.6551181122J. Oracz1.22118114113LSep 4 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.6011118113D. Pyrek2.20811181LAug 23 · 02:10D. Pyrek1.8381150K. Malcher1.831113113
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