TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078120
Played Sep 4Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11713118115111012
Michal Krutak
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
11713118115111012
H2H Cezary Pawlik 9–13 Michal Krutak Cezary Pawlik has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Pawlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Krutak
Correct
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1561 vs Krutak 1446
Pawlik
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 60% vs Krutak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 70% vs Krutak 50%
Pawlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik -2 · Krutak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.60 / Krutak 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pawlik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13078120
Pawlik1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 115 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it81% 89 of 110
Krutak2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik5wins
AwayKrutak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik50%5 of 10
AwayKrutakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik10Krutak0n = 10Pawlik took 10 of 10
S2Pawlik4Krutak6n = 10Krutak took 6 of 10
S3Pawlik3Krutak7n = 10Krutak took 7 of 10
S4Pawlik7Krutak3n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S5Pawlik0Krutak4n = 4Krutak took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikKrutakP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match45.239.2+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikKrutakBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 457 vs 191 / 31858%60.1%265 / 457 vs 191 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.60/Krutak 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krutak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 22:25C. Pawlik—111011113M. Krutak—212951
LAug 21 · 20:00C. Pawlik—1110111182M. Krutak—612135113
WAug 14 · 22:25C. Pawlik—111110113M. Krutak—481241
LAug 14 · 20:00C. Pawlik—11119962M. Krutak—881111113
LAug 7 · 22:25C. Pawlik—1191011142M. Krutak—711123163
WAug 7 · 20:00C. Pawlik—13115113M. Krutak—1171151
LAug 1 · 02:00C. Pawlik—1199101M. Krutak—71111123
WJul 31 · 16:25C. Pawlik—111110113M. Krutak—771281
LJul 25 · 01:10C. Pawlik—1112121092M. Krutak—9141012113
WJul 24 · 19:10C. Pawlik—11511113M. Krutak—511461
C. Pawlik10
WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991
M. Krutak10
LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113LSep 4 · 23:35M. Krutak3.0010570J. Oracz1.331211113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113WSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072WSep 4 · 17:35M. Krutak2.60126146113J. Oracz1.411011121182LSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak1.576970A. Kubiak2.251111113LAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
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