TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080794
Played Sep 5Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012119119––
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1191012119119––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 29–29 Jacek Oracz Dead even across their 58 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:08What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-29 in 58
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1587 vs Oracz 1545
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 80% vs Oracz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 70% vs Oracz 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik +4 · Oracz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.83 / Oracz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pawlik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13080794
Pawlik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Oracz1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik6wins
AwayOracz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik85.7%6 of 7
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik7Oracz3n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S2Pawlik6Oracz4n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S3Pawlik4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Pawlik4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S5Pawlik2Oracz1n = 3Pawlik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikOraczP − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.843.1−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 466 vs 652 / 90758.4%71.9%272 / 466 vs 652 / 907Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.83/Oracz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 22:50C. Pawlik—1161114113J. Oracz—91191662
LSep 4 · 15:10C. Pawlik—128881J. Oracz—101111113
WAug 22 · 02:00C. Pawlik—11511113J. Oracz—711381
WAug 21 · 16:25C. Pawlik—111112123J. Oracz—81310101
LAug 15 · 24:45C. Pawlik—811991J. Oracz—11811113
WAug 14 · 18:45C. Pawlik—11117133J. Oracz—9911111
WAug 8 · 02:00C. Pawlik—16115113J. Oracz—1481191
LAug 7 · 16:25C. Pawlik—51112682J. Oracz—1191011113
WJul 31 · 22:50C. Pawlik—141166113J. Oracz—128111182
LJul 31 · 15:10C. Pawlik—611881J. Oracz—11911113
C. Pawlik10
WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113
J. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113WSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113WSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113
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