TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084914
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
2.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161151012119––
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 71.7% is still 71.7%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
71.7%
71.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1161151012119––
H2H Andrzej Krezel 1–4 Jacek Oracz Andrzej Krezel has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Oracz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1398 vs Oracz 1604
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 40% vs Oracz 100%
Oracz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 40% vs Oracz 90%
Oracz
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel +1 · Oracz +5
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 2.65 / Oracz 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Oracz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13084914
Krezel2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 44 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back9% 8 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Oracz1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 302 of 422
Up 2–0, closes it98% 189 of 192
Up 1–0, closes it88% 246 of 281
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKrezel1wins
AwayOracz4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderOracz leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezeln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOracz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel1Oracz4n = 5Oracz took 4 of 5
S2Krezel3Oracz2n = 5Krezel took 3 of 5
S3Krezel4Oracz1n = 5Krezel took 4 of 5
S4Krezel1Oracz3n = 4Oracz took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKrezelOraczK − OBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match41.041.8−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 208 vs 658 / 91429.8%72%62 / 208 vs 658 / 914Avg sets wonper match1.52.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczKrezel 2.65/Oracz 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.8%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel—97111172J. Oracz—111129113
LAug 20 · 02:20A. Krezel—1091191J. Oracz—12118113
LAug 19 · 18:20A. Krezel—51115982J. Oracz—1151311113
WAug 14 · 22:00A. Krezel—1111123J. Oracz—79100
LAug 14 · 18:00A. Krezel—7138111J. Oracz—111111133
A. Krezel10
LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113LSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940LSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113
J. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113WSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113WSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991WSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113
Upcoming Matches
A. Krezel1 of 2 neutral
J. Oracz
Nothing scheduled
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