TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083482
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911711112119711
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:32 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
911711112119711
H2H Andrzej Krezel 1–3 Jacek Oracz Andrzej Krezel has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Oracz
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1397 vs Oracz 1545
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 40% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 30% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel -2 · Oracz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 2.60 / Oracz 1.41
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Oracz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13083482
Krezel2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 44 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back9% 8 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Oracz1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 302 of 422
Up 2–0, closes it98% 189 of 192
Up 1–0, closes it88% 246 of 281
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKrezel1wins
AwayOracz3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderOracz leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezeln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel1Oracz3n = 4Oracz took 3 of 4
S2Krezel3Oracz1n = 4Krezel took 3 of 4
S3Krezel3Oracz1n = 4Krezel took 3 of 4
S4Krezel0Oracz3n = 3Oracz took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKrezelOraczK − OBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match40.041.2−1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 203 vs 653 / 90929.6%71.8%60 / 203 vs 653 / 909Avg sets wonper match1.52.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczKrezel 2.60/Oracz 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 20 · 02:20A. Krezel—1091191J. Oracz—12118113
LAug 19 · 18:20A. Krezel—51115982J. Oracz—1151311113
WAug 14 · 22:00A. Krezel—1111123J. Oracz—79100
LAug 14 · 18:00A. Krezel—7138111J. Oracz—111111133
A. Krezel10
LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940LSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113
J. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113WSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991WSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113
Upcoming Matches
A. Krezel1 of 2 neutral
J. Oracz
Nothing scheduled
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