TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083024
Played Sep 5Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.46
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119114––––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
2.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
114119114––––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 2–0 Andrzej Krezel Andrzej Krezel has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Pawlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1598 vs Krezel 1404
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 100% vs Krezel 40%
Pawlik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 80% vs Krezel 30%
Pawlik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik +5 · Krezel -1
Pawlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.46 / Krezel 2.47
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pawlik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13083024
Pawlik1.46
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 121 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it81% 93 of 115
Krezel2.47
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 44 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back9% 8 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePawlik2wins
AwayKrezel0wins
Pawlik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPawlikKrezelP − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.534.5+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 467 vs 60 / 20258.5%29.7%273 / 467 vs 60 / 202Avg sets wonper match2.21.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.434.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.46/Krezel 2.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.6%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 15 · 02:00C. Pawlik—11912113A. Krezel—9111071
WAug 14 · 16:25C. Pawlik—21112113A. Krezel—1161051
C. Pawlik10
WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991WSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113
A. Krezel10
LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113WSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151LSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113LSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
C. Pawlik
Nothing scheduled
A. Krezel1 of 2 neutral
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