TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084513
Played Sep 5Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6119111311115711
Cezary Pawlik
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
6119111311115711
H2H Krystian Gudzik 1–0 Cezary Pawlik Cezary Pawlik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Pawlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1424 vs Pawlik 1609
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 40% vs Pawlik 80%
Pawlik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 50% vs Pawlik 80%
Pawlik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik -2 · Pawlik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 2.85 / Pawlik 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 71%
Edge (Pawlik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13084513
Gudzik2.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Pawlik1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 121 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it81% 93 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGudzik1wins
AwayPawlik0wins
Gudzik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGudzikPawlikG − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.034.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 75 vs 276 / 47153.3%58.6%40 / 75 vs 276 / 471Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikGudzik 2.85/Pawlik 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 18:00K. Gudzik—11512113C. Pawlik—8111051
K. Gudzik10
LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113LSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113LSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113LSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151WSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241LSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113WSep 3 · 04:40K. Gudzik1.891111113J. Skorupa1.799870
C. Pawlik10
WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991WSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113
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