TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069248
Played Sep 3Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
1.89
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.79
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Gudzik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
119118117––––
H2H Krystian Gudzik 1–0 Jakub Skorupa Jakub Skorupa has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.79 (51%)
Skorupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1406 vs Skorupa 1331
Gudzik
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 60% vs Skorupa 40%
Gudzik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 50% vs Skorupa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik +1 · Skorupa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 1.89 / Skorupa 1.79
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skorupa)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13069248
Gudzik1.89
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 9 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Skorupa1.79
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 145 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it76% 94 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGudzik1wins
AwaySkorupa0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGudzik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGudzikSkorupaG − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match55.045.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 69 vs 288 / 59353.6%48.6%37 / 69 vs 288 / 593Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaGudzik 1.89/Skorupa 1.79
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gudzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 22:40K. Gudzik—1212911113J. Skorupa—101411552
K. Gudzik10
LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113LSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113LSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113LSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113LSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151WSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241LSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113
J. Skorupa10
LSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111LSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113LSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113WSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762WSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791LSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442LSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171LSep 6 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.731111113J. Skorupa2.005860
Upcoming Matches
K. Gudzik
Nothing scheduled
J. Skorupa6 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:00J. Skorupa—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 16:35J. Skorupa—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 17:20J. Skorupa—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 19:20J. Skorupa—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 20:05J. Skorupa—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 21:00J. Skorupa—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 22:30J. Skorupa—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 23:10J. Skorupa—M. Lewczuk——Sep 8 · 24:50J. Skorupa—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Skorupa—M. Krutak——
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