TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13079703
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Krutak
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411711117911––
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.39
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:28 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Krutak to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
411711117911––
H2H Michal Krutak 1–0 Artur Zmijewski Artur Zmijewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:28What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (66%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krutak 1409 vs Zmijewski 1513
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutak 20% vs Zmijewski 80%
Zmijewski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutak 40% vs Zmijewski 70%
Zmijewski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutak -4 · Zmijewski +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutak form (20%) is below what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 2.70 / Zmijewski 1.39
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Zmijewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13079703
Krutak2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Zmijewski1.39
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite69% won 40 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrutak1wins
AwayZmijewski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKrutak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrutakZmijewskiK − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match44.047.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 326 vs 61 / 10359.5%59.2%194 / 326 vs 61 / 103Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiKrutak 2.70/Zmijewski 1.39
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak—311712113A. Zmijewski—118111072
M. Krutak10
LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 4 · 23:35M. Krutak3.0010570J. Oracz1.331211113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113WSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072WSep 4 · 17:35M. Krutak2.60126146113J. Oracz1.411011121182WSep 4 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.60111385102M. Krutak2.157111111123LSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak1.576970A. Kubiak2.251111113LAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102LSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113WSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113WSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 22:00A. Zmijewski1.701191211113C. Pawlik1.9551114772WSep 4 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.801510117113J. Oracz1.90131291192LSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072LSep 4 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.75131114113A. Zmijewski1.951541241
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