TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078628
Played Sep 4Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13151141412114––
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
13151141412114––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 3–1 Artur Zmijewski Artur Zmijewski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pawlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.75 / Zmijewski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pawlik)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13078628
Pawlik1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 115 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it81% 89 of 110
Zmijewski1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePawlik3wins
AwayZmijewski1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderPawlik leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZmijewski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik1Zmijewski3n = 4Zmijewski took 3 of 4
S2Pawlik3Zmijewski1n = 4Pawlik took 3 of 4
S3Pawlik3Zmijewski1n = 4Pawlik took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricPawlikZmijewskiP − ZBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.034.2−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 458 vs 57 / 9757.9%58.8%265 / 458 vs 57 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.75/Zmijewski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 8 · 21:35C. Pawlik—81312113A. Zmijewski—11111051
LAug 8 · 15:35C. Pawlik—6350A. Zmijewski—1111113
WAug 1 · 22:00C. Pawlik—211114113A. Zmijewski—11881162
WAug 1 · 18:00C. Pawlik—1117113A. Zmijewski—61520
C. Pawlik10
WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102LSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113WSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113WSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113WSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 22:00A. Zmijewski1.701191211113C. Pawlik1.9551114772WSep 4 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.801510117113J. Oracz1.90131291192LSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072
Upcoming Matches
C. Pawlik
Nothing scheduled
A. Zmijewski
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