TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13079710
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Krutak
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511711––––
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
1012511711––––
H2H Michal Krutak 13–14 Jacek Oracz Michal Krutak has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutak 1419 vs Oracz 1528
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutak 40% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutak 50% vs Oracz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutak -3 · Oracz +1
Krutak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 3.00 / Oracz 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Oracz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13079710
Krutak3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Oracz1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 295 of 413
Up 2–0, closes it98% 186 of 189
Up 1–0, closes it87% 240 of 275
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrutak6wins
AwayOracz4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrutak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutak100%5 of 5
AwayOracz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutak5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S2Krutak4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Krutak4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Krutak3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S5Krutak6Oracz0n = 6Krutak took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrutakOraczK − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.145.5−3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 325 vs 649 / 90359.7%71.9%194 / 325 vs 649 / 903Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczKrutak 3.00/Oracz 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 17:35M. Krutak—126146113J. Oracz—1011121182
WAug 28 · 23:35M. Krutak—111167113J. Oracz—89111172
LAug 28 · 17:35M. Krutak—411871J. Oracz—11811113
WAug 22 · 01:10M. Krutak—114811113J. Oracz—51111862
LAug 21 · 19:10M. Krutak—851171J. Oracz—11118113
WAug 15 · 24:00M. Krutak—167511113J. Oracz—141111942
LAug 14 · 16:00M. Krutak—514491J. Oracz—111211113
WAug 8 · 01:10M. Krutak—116129113J. Oracz—711101182
WAug 7 · 19:10M. Krutak—811811113J. Oracz—11811892
LJul 31 · 23:35M. Krutak—7912121J. Oracz—111110143
M. Krutak10
LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113WSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072WSep 4 · 17:35M. Krutak2.60126146113J. Oracz1.411011121182WSep 4 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.60111385102M. Krutak2.157111111123LSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak1.576970A. Kubiak2.251111113LAug 29 · 02:00M. Krutak2.479430O. Jedrzejowski1.461111113
J. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113WSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113WSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 4 · 17:35M. Krutak2.60126146113J. Oracz1.411011121182
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