TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078117
Played Sep 4Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
3.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118811114211
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 80.2% is still 80.2%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
80.2%
80.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
511118811114211
H2H Dawid Pyrek 7–23 Jacek Oracz Dawid Pyrek has won 7 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-23 in 30
Oracz
Correct
gap of 16 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1339 vs Oracz 1535
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 20% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 20% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek -3 · Oracz +1
Pyrek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 3.65 / Oracz 1.22
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Oracz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13078117
Pyrek3.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog35% won 63 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Oracz1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 295 of 413
Up 2–0, closes it98% 186 of 189
Up 1–0, closes it87% 240 of 275
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePyrek3wins
AwayOracz7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrek66.7%2 of 3
AwayOracz85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S2Pyrek2Oracz8n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S3Pyrek3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S4Pyrek2Oracz4n = 6Oracz took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPyrekOraczP − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.138.2−8.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 776 vs 646 / 89849.1%71.9%381 / 776 vs 646 / 898Avg sets wonper match1.92.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczPyrek 3.65/Oracz 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 22:00D. Pyrek—5711111J. Oracz—11116133
WAug 21 · 18:00D. Pyrek—81112113J. Oracz—1191061
LAug 7 · 22:00D. Pyrek—8740J. Oracz—1111113
LAug 7 · 18:00D. Pyrek—69110J. Oracz—1111133
LJul 10 · 22:50D. Pyrek—10640J. Oracz—1211113
LJul 10 · 15:10D. Pyrek—117511J. Oracz—61111113
WMay 15 · 22:00D. Pyrek—111155113J. Oracz—69111192
LMay 15 · 18:00D. Pyrek—6580J. Oracz—1111113
LMar 25 · 01:20D. Pyrek—381181J. Oracz—11118113
WMar 24 · 21:20D. Pyrek—116511113J. Oracz—91111672
D. Pyrek10
WSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.45116981C. Pawlik1.2581111113LSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.60741381J. Oracz1.23111111113WSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113LSep 4 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.531211113D. Pyrek2.3810430LSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek1.71911101192A. Kubiak2.00116124113LSep 4 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.6011118113D. Pyrek2.20811181LAug 23 · 02:10D. Pyrek1.8381150K. Malcher1.831113113
J. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113WSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113WSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.60741381J. Oracz1.23111111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.