TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069249
Played Sep 3Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
9.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611711––––
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.02
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:09 and never touched — 80.3% is still 80.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
80.3%
80.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
511611711––––
H2H Witold Stechly 6–62 Miroslaw Warzecha Witold Stechly has won 6 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.02 (90%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-62 in 68
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 56 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1099 vs Warzecha 1609
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 510 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 0% vs Warzecha 100%
Warzecha
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 20% vs Warzecha 90%
Warzecha
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -5 · Warzecha +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stechly form (0%) is below what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 9.25 / Warzecha 1.02
Signal prob.8% / 92%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13069249
Stechly9.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog19% won 46 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back11% 18 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 108
Warzecha1.02
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite73% won 361 of 497
Up 2–0, closes it97% 205 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it88% 271 of 308
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly0wins
AwayWarzecha10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly0%0 of 3
AwayWarzecha100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly3Warzecha7n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S2Stechly2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S3Stechly3Warzecha7n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S4Stechly1Warzecha6n = 7Warzecha took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyWarzechaS − WBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.142.1−9.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 522 vs 855 / 121016.1%70.7%84 / 522 vs 855 / 1210Avg sets wonper match1.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match32.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaStechly 9.25/Warzecha 1.02
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.1%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 03:55W. Stechly—8980M. Warzecha—1111113
LAug 6 · 24:45W. Stechly—8811111M. Warzecha—11118133
LJul 30 · 04:20W. Stechly—91180M. Warzecha—1113113
LJul 23 · 04:20W. Stechly—513111152M. Warzecha—1111813113
LJul 16 · 04:20W. Stechly—681151M. Warzecha—11116113
LJul 9 · 04:20W. Stechly—51171152M. Warzecha—119119113
LJul 2 · 04:20W. Stechly—1181141M. Warzecha—91113113
LMay 28 · 03:30W. Stechly—1155111M. Warzecha—81111133
LMay 21 · 24:45W. Stechly—7870M. Warzecha—1111113
LMay 14 · 03:30W. Stechly—1116651M. Warzecha—61811113
W. Stechly10
LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 03:05W. Stechly3.40941161K. Gudzik1.2511116113LSep 3 · 01:55W. Stechly3.95311621J. Skorupa1.2011811113LSep 3 · 24:45Z. Nocun1.12117912123W. Stechly4.958111110102LSep 2 · 23:55W. Stechly2.19981481A. Staniczek1.61111112113LAug 31 · 09:10W. Stechly2.05118781D. Maszczynski1.7071111113WAug 31 · 07:50W. Stechly4.3011411113J. Slawomir1.16611631
M. Warzecha10
WSep 3 · 03:30Z. Nocun2.707680M. Warzecha1.391111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.091111113A. Staniczek5.806770WSep 3 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.321111113J. Skorupa3.003720WSep 3 · 24:20K. Gudzik2.90118311142M. Warzecha1.35511119163WSep 2 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.0811116113A. Staniczek6.10811151WSep 2 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.571111113Z. Nocun2.257980WSep 2 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.331111113K. Gudzik2.958770LSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.301111113J. Skorupa3.157690WAug 27 · 04:20A. Barton9.7067120M. Warzecha1.011111143
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