TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067130
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117119118––––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 27–36 Zbigniew Nocun Miroslaw Warzecha has won 27 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-36 in 63
Nocun
Wrong
gap of 9 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1564 vs Nocun 1422
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 80% vs Nocun 0%
Warzecha
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 70% vs Nocun 50%
Warzecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha +1 · Nocun -5
Nocun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.57 / Nocun 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13067130
Warzecha1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite72% won 353 of 488
Up 2–0, closes it97% 198 of 205
Up 1–0, closes it88% 264 of 300
Nocun2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarzecha3wins
AwayNocun7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNocun leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzechan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNocun77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha1Nocun9n = 10Nocun took 9 of 10
S2Warzecha2Nocun8n = 10Nocun took 8 of 10
S3Warzecha5Nocun5n = 10split evenly
S4Warzecha2Nocun4n = 6Nocun took 4 of 6
S5Warzecha3Nocun1n = 4Warzecha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarzechaNocunW − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.239.8−4.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime849 / 1204 vs 633 / 106070.5%59.7%849 / 1204 vs 633 / 1060Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.57/Nocun 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 30 · 24:20M. Warzecha—971281Z. Nocun—111110113
WJul 29 · 20:20M. Warzecha—7111113113Z. Nocun—11861552
LJul 23 · 24:20M. Warzecha—76111362Z. Nocun—1111311113
LJul 22 · 20:20M. Warzecha—6960Z. Nocun—1111113
WJul 2 · 24:20M. Warzecha—781112113Z. Nocun—111151082
LJul 1 · 20:20M. Warzecha—710100Z. Nocun—1112123
LJun 4 · 02:45M. Warzecha—4780Z. Nocun—1111113
LJun 3 · 23:05M. Warzecha—9980Z. Nocun—1111113
WMay 28 · 24:20M. Warzecha—1141110113Z. Nocun—71161282
LMay 27 · 20:20M. Warzecha—911651Z. Nocun—11711113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113WSep 3 · 03:30Z. Nocun2.707680M. Warzecha1.391111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.091111113A. Staniczek5.806770WSep 3 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.321111113J. Skorupa3.003720WSep 3 · 24:20K. Gudzik2.90118311142M. Warzecha1.35511119163WSep 2 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.0811116113A. Staniczek6.10811151WSep 2 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.331111113K. Gudzik2.958770LSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.301111113J. Skorupa3.157690WAug 27 · 04:20A. Barton9.7067120M. Warzecha1.011111143
Z. Nocun10
LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171LSep 3 · 03:30Z. Nocun2.707680M. Warzecha1.391111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Warzecha
Z. Nocun
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