TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13068557
Played Sep 3Finished
Zbigniew Nocun
Home
2.70
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611811––––
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.39
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:58 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
711611811––––
H2H Zbigniew Nocun 36–29 Miroslaw Warzecha Miroslaw Warzecha has won 29 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (66%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-29 in 65
Nocun
Wrong
gap of 7 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nocun 1450 vs Warzecha 1599
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nocun 80% vs Warzecha 100%
Warzecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nocun 40% vs Warzecha 90%
Warzecha
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nocun +4 · Warzecha +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNocun 2.70 / Warzecha 1.39
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13068557
Nocun2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Warzecha1.39
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite72% won 353 of 488
Up 2–0, closes it97% 198 of 205
Up 1–0, closes it88% 264 of 300
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNocun6wins
AwayWarzecha4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNocun leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNocun75%6 of 8
AwayWarzechan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nocun8Warzecha2n = 10Nocun took 8 of 10
S2Nocun7Warzecha3n = 10Nocun took 7 of 10
S3Nocun4Warzecha6n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S4Nocun2Warzecha2n = 4split evenly
S5Nocun1Warzecha2n = 3Warzecha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNocunWarzechaN − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.734.0+1.7per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNocunWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime637 / 1065 vs 854 / 120959.8%70.6%637 / 1065 vs 854 / 1209Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaNocun 2.70/Warzecha 1.39
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.4%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 21:30Z. Nocun—7980M. Warzecha—1111113
LAug 20 · 04:20Z. Nocun—6580M. Warzecha—1111113
WJul 30 · 24:20Z. Nocun—111110113M. Warzecha—971281
LJul 29 · 20:20Z. Nocun—11861552M. Warzecha—7111113113
WJul 23 · 24:20Z. Nocun—1111311113M. Warzecha—76111362
WJul 22 · 20:20Z. Nocun—1111113M. Warzecha—6960
LJul 2 · 24:20Z. Nocun—111151082M. Warzecha—781112113
WJul 1 · 20:20Z. Nocun—1112123M. Warzecha—710100
WJun 4 · 02:45Z. Nocun—1111113M. Warzecha—4780
WJun 3 · 23:05Z. Nocun—1111113M. Warzecha—9980
Z. Nocun10
LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171WSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162
M. Warzecha10
WSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.091111113A. Staniczek5.806770WSep 3 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.321111113J. Skorupa3.003720WSep 3 · 24:20K. Gudzik2.90118311142M. Warzecha1.35511119163WSep 2 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.0811116113A. Staniczek6.10811151WSep 2 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.571111113Z. Nocun2.257980WSep 2 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.331111113K. Gudzik2.958770LSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.301111113J. Skorupa3.157690WAug 27 · 04:20A. Barton9.7067120M. Warzecha1.011111143
Upcoming Matches
Z. Nocun
Nothing scheduled
M. Warzecha
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