TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067120
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.08
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118111611115––
Adam Staniczek
Away
6.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
118111611115––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 57–7 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 7 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (85%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-7 in 64
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 50 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1575 vs Staniczek 1324
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 251 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 80% vs Staniczek 40%
Warzecha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 80% vs Staniczek 30%
Warzecha
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha +2 · Staniczek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (16%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.08 / Staniczek 6.10
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Warzecha)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13067120
Warzecha1.08
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite72% won 353 of 488
Up 2–0, closes it97% 198 of 205
Up 1–0, closes it88% 264 of 300
Staniczek6.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 110 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back12% 31 of 268
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarzecha9wins
AwayStaniczek1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha100%7 of 7
AwayStaniczek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha7Staniczek3n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S2Warzecha7Staniczek3n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S3Warzecha8Staniczek2n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S4Warzecha3Staniczek1n = 4Warzecha took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarzechaStaniczekW − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.028.1+8.9per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime850 / 1205 vs 366 / 100970.5%36.3%850 / 1205 vs 366 / 1009Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.033.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.08/Staniczek 6.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 21:35M. Warzecha—1111113A. Staniczek—8950
WAug 24 · 15:35M. Warzecha—1111113A. Staniczek—7850
WAug 17 · 21:35M. Warzecha—91111113A. Staniczek—115691
WAug 17 · 15:35M. Warzecha—118911113A. Staniczek—61111582
WJul 28 · 24:25M. Warzecha—1111113A. Staniczek—4880
WJul 27 · 20:45M. Warzecha—1111113A. Staniczek—6870
LJul 21 · 24:25M. Warzecha—8980A. Staniczek—1111113
WJul 20 · 20:45M. Warzecha—61111133A. Staniczek—1115111
WJul 14 · 24:25M. Warzecha—119115113A. Staniczek—91181192
WJul 13 · 20:45M. Warzecha—1111113A. Staniczek—3680
M. Warzecha10
WSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113WSep 3 · 03:30Z. Nocun2.707680M. Warzecha1.391111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.091111113A. Staniczek5.806770WSep 3 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.321111113J. Skorupa3.003720WSep 3 · 24:20K. Gudzik2.90118311142M. Warzecha1.35511119163WSep 2 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.571111113Z. Nocun2.257980WSep 2 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.331111113K. Gudzik2.958770LSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.301111113J. Skorupa3.157690WAug 27 · 04:20A. Barton9.7067120M. Warzecha1.011111143
A. Staniczek10
WSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:25A. Staniczek2.631271161G. Mucha1.4414116113LSep 6 · 24:10T. Kocik1.241111811113A. Staniczek3.5513911962LSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880WSep 5 · 21:20D. Maszczynski2.3811360A. Staniczek1.531311113LSep 5 · 20:30T. Kocik1.2011117113A. Staniczek4.33691191LSep 5 · 19:20A. Staniczek2.63311481G. Mucha1.4411411113WSep 5 · 18:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3087110A. Staniczek3.401111133LSep 5 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407770LSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.091111113A. Staniczek5.806770
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