TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090419
Played Sep 7Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
5.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711115911117
Michal Wolny
Away
1.12
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:50 and never touched — 87.4% is still 87.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Wolny to win
87.4%
87.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
118711115911117
H2H Witold Stechly 3–40 Michal Wolny Witold Stechly has won 3 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:50What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.12 (82%)
Wolny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-40 in 43
Wolny
Wrong
gap of 37 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1089 vs Wolny 1384
Wolny
Wrong
both rated, 295 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 0% vs Wolny 60%
Wolny
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 20% vs Wolny 40%
Wolny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -5 · Wolny +1
Stechly
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Wolny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (60%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 5.20 / Wolny 1.12
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Wolny)+5.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13090419
Stechly5.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog19% won 45 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back10% 17 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 108
Wolny1.12
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it86% 49 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly0wins
AwayWolny10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWolny leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechlyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWolny100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly2Wolny8n = 10Wolny took 8 of 10
S2Stechly3Wolny7n = 10Wolny took 7 of 10
S3Stechly3Wolny7n = 10Wolny took 7 of 10
S4Stechly1Wolny5n = 6Wolny took 5 of 6
S5Stechly0Wolny3n = 3Wolny took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyWolnyS − WBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.342.9−9.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 524 vs 272 / 56716%48%84 / 524 vs 272 / 567Avg sets wonper match1.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match32.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolnyStechly 5.20/Wolny 1.12
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.4%
Wolny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stechly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 03:10W. Stechly—511981M. Wolny—11811113
LAug 10 · 03:10W. Stechly—8890M. Wolny—1111113
LAug 3 · 08:20W. Stechly—1181071M. Wolny—91112113
LJul 29 · 23:55W. Stechly—811111142M. Wolny—117613113
LJul 27 · 03:10W. Stechly—16156792M. Wolny—14131111113
LJul 22 · 23:55W. Stechly—5440M. Wolny—1111113
LJul 20 · 06:00W. Stechly—4171261M. Wolny—111910113
LJul 13 · 03:10W. Stechly—71380M. Wolny—1115113
LMay 4 · 08:20W. Stechly—971112102M. Wolny—1111610123
LApr 27 · 03:10W. Stechly—1560M. Wolny—1111113
W. Stechly10
LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113LSep 3 · 03:05W. Stechly3.40941161K. Gudzik1.2511116113LSep 3 · 01:55W. Stechly3.95311621J. Skorupa1.2011811113LSep 3 · 24:45Z. Nocun1.12117912123W. Stechly4.958111110102LSep 2 · 23:55W. Stechly2.19981481A. Staniczek1.61111112113LAug 31 · 09:10W. Stechly2.05118781D. Maszczynski1.7071111113WAug 31 · 07:50W. Stechly4.3011411113J. Slawomir1.16611631WAug 31 · 06:50W. Stechly2.111411113T. Kordaszewski1.6212890
M. Wolny10
WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113WSep 4 · 02:45M. Wolny1.64711117113A. Staniczek2.1411381112LSep 4 · 01:10M. Wolny1.831011411122J. Skorupa1.87129111143LSep 4 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.50111011123M. Wolny2.355125101WSep 3 · 23:05M. Wolny1.5281111113A. Staniczek2.30114041LSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113LSep 3 · 20:20M. Wolny2.37871171Z. Nocun1.5211119113LSep 3 · 18:45M. Wolny1.958850J. Zelezik1.751111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.