TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074434
Played Sep 4Finished
Zbigniew Nocun
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11510121151210––
Michal Wolny
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:49 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Nocun to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
11510121151210––
H2H Zbigniew Nocun 23–11 Michal Wolny Michal Wolny has won 11 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Nocun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-11 in 34
Nocun
Correct
gap of 12 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nocun 1471 vs Wolny 1380
Nocun
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nocun 60% vs Wolny 40%
Nocun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nocun 70% vs Wolny 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nocun +1 · Wolny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNocun 1.50 / Wolny 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Nocun)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13074434
Nocun1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 316 of 478
Up 2–0, closes it96% 150 of 157
Up 1–0, closes it87% 225 of 258
Wolny2.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 40 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNocun8wins
AwayWolny2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNocun leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNocun83.3%5 of 6
AwayWolny25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nocun6Wolny4n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S2Nocun6Wolny4n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S3Nocun8Wolny2n = 10Nocun took 8 of 10
S4Nocun7Wolny2n = 9Nocun took 7 of 9
S5Nocun1Wolny2n = 3Wolny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNocunWolnyN − WBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.236.4+7.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNocunWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime643 / 1074 vs 269 / 56559.9%47.6%643 / 1074 vs 269 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunNocun 1.50/Wolny 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.2%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nocun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 24:20Z. Nocun—111011123M. Wolny—5125101
WSep 3 · 20:20Z. Nocun—11119113M. Wolny—871171
WJul 30 · 01:30Z. Nocun—61111113M. Wolny—113571
WJul 29 · 19:30Z. Nocun—11811113M. Wolny—811741
WJul 23 · 01:30Z. Nocun—1211143M. Wolny—106120
WJul 22 · 19:30Z. Nocun—117139113M. Wolny—611111152
LApr 3 · 01:30Z. Nocun—119111472M. Wolny—811716113
WApr 2 · 19:30Z. Nocun—91111113M. Wolny—113591
LMar 26 · 02:30Z. Nocun—911101132M. Wolny—119126113
WMar 25 · 20:30Z. Nocun—171111113M. Wolny—194991
Z. Nocun10
LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171WSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162
M. Wolny10
LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113WSep 4 · 02:45M. Wolny1.64711117113A. Staniczek2.1411381112LSep 4 · 01:10M. Wolny1.831011411122J. Skorupa1.87129111143WSep 3 · 23:05M. Wolny1.5281111113A. Staniczek2.30114041LSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113LSep 3 · 20:20M. Wolny2.37871171Z. Nocun1.5211119113LSep 3 · 18:45M. Wolny1.958850J. Zelezik1.751111113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Nocun
Nothing scheduled
M. Wolny
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