TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065852
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Wolny
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811511––––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
811811511––––
H2H Michal Wolny 3–7 Jacek Zelezik Michal Wolny has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:00What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wolny 1422 vs Zelezik 1354
Wolny
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolny 80% vs Zelezik 40%
Wolny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolny 70% vs Zelezik 30%
Wolny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolny +1 · Zelezik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolny 1.95 / Zelezik 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zelezik)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13065852
Wolny1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 40 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Zelezik1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 171 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it96% 100 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it82% 133 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWolny3wins
AwayZelezik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWolny66.7%2 of 3
AwayZelezik85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wolny3Zelezik7n = 10Zelezik took 7 of 10
S2Wolny4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S3Wolny4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S4Wolny4Zelezik2n = 6Wolny took 4 of 6
S5Wolny1Zelezik3n = 4Zelezik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWolnyZelezikW − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.140.0−3.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolnyZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 566 vs 347 / 64847.9%53.6%271 / 566 vs 347 / 648Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikWolny 1.95/Zelezik 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 24:00M. Wolny—9511111J. Zelezik—11115133
LJul 31 · 16:00M. Wolny—9550J. Zelezik—1111113
LJul 23 · 03:55M. Wolny—6750J. Zelezik—1111113
LJul 22 · 21:55M. Wolny—135911132J. Zelezik—1111119153
WApr 10 · 21:10M. Wolny—12118113J. Zelezik—1071131
LApr 10 · 16:50M. Wolny—4980J. Zelezik—1111113
WJan 29 · 06:05M. Wolny—1111113J. Zelezik—7560
LJan 28 · 21:45M. Wolny—511101192J. Zelezik—117128113
WNov 24 · 09:45M. Wolny—9111111143J. Zelezik—119913122
LNov 17 · 09:45M. Wolny—94111232J. Zelezik—1111910113
M. Wolny10
LSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113WSep 4 · 02:45M. Wolny1.64711117113A. Staniczek2.1411381112LSep 4 · 01:10M. Wolny1.831011411122J. Skorupa1.87129111143LSep 4 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.50111011123M. Wolny2.355125101
J. Zelezik10
WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132WSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442WSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik2.20711711113G. Mucha1.6111811562WSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192
Upcoming Matches
M. Wolny
Nothing scheduled
J. Zelezik
Sep 7 · 15:50J. Zelezik1.83M. Krutak1.83—Sep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik1.71J. Skorupa2.00—Sep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25H. Tkaczyk1.57—Sep 7 · 18:55J. Zelezik1.33A. Kubiak2.95—Sep 7 · 19:40J. Zelezik1.71M. Lewczuk2.00—Sep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.71J. Skorupa2.00—Sep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.83M. Krutak1.83—Sep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik—A. Kubiak——Sep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik—H. Tkaczyk——
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