TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073085
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Wolny
Home
2.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711119711––
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.52
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Nocun to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
811711119711––
H2H Michal Wolny 11–21 Zbigniew Nocun Michal Wolny has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Nocun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-21 in 32
Nocun
Correct
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wolny 1407 vs Nocun 1435
Nocun
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolny 60% vs Nocun 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolny 70% vs Nocun 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolny -1 · Nocun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolny 2.37 / Nocun 1.52
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Nocun)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13073085
Wolny2.37
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 40 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Nocun1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 316 of 478
Up 2–0, closes it96% 150 of 157
Up 1–0, closes it87% 225 of 258
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWolny3wins
AwayNocun7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNocun leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWolny25%1 of 4
AwayNocun66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wolny4Nocun6n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S2Wolny3Nocun7n = 10Nocun took 7 of 10
S3Wolny2Nocun8n = 10Nocun took 8 of 10
S4Wolny3Nocun5n = 8Nocun took 5 of 8
S5Wolny3Nocun1n = 4Wolny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWolnyNocunW − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.443.6−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolnyNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 565 vs 639 / 107048.1%59.7%272 / 565 vs 639 / 1070Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunWolny 2.37/Nocun 1.52
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nocun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 30 · 01:30M. Wolny—113571Z. Nocun—61111113
LJul 29 · 19:30M. Wolny—811741Z. Nocun—11811113
LJul 23 · 01:30M. Wolny—106120Z. Nocun—1211143
LJul 22 · 19:30M. Wolny—611111152Z. Nocun—117139113
WApr 3 · 01:30M. Wolny—811716113Z. Nocun—119111472
LApr 2 · 19:30M. Wolny—113591Z. Nocun—91111113
WMar 26 · 02:30M. Wolny—119126113Z. Nocun—911101132
LMar 25 · 20:30M. Wolny—194991Z. Nocun—171111113
LJan 22 · 04:55M. Wolny—4580Z. Nocun—1111113
WJan 21 · 22:55M. Wolny—5101111113Z. Nocun—11129872
M. Wolny10
LSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113WSep 4 · 02:45M. Wolny1.64711117113A. Staniczek2.1411381112LSep 4 · 01:10M. Wolny1.831011411122J. Skorupa1.87129111143LSep 4 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.50111011123M. Wolny2.355125101
Z. Nocun10
LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171WSep 4 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.50111011123M. Wolny2.355125101
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