TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053492
Played Sep 1Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
4.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1159118111210711
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.16
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1159118111210711
H2H Marian Brunner 16–41 Henryk Tkaczyk Marian Brunner has won 16 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:58What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.16 (79%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-41 in 57
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 25 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1230 vs Tkaczyk 1652
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 422 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 20% vs Tkaczyk 80%
Tkaczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 20% vs Tkaczyk 90%
Tkaczyk
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner -2 · Tkaczyk +3
Tkaczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 4.40 / Tkaczyk 1.16
Signal prob.17% / 84%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13053492
Brunner4.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Tkaczyk1.16
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 375 of 551
Up 2–0, closes it93% 210 of 225
Up 1–0, closes it84% 288 of 342
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrunner1wins
AwayTkaczyk9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrunner33.3%1 of 3
AwayTkaczyk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brunner3Tkaczyk7n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S2Brunner6Tkaczyk4n = 10Brunner took 6 of 10
S3Brunner3Tkaczyk7n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S4Brunner1Tkaczyk7n = 8Tkaczyk took 7 of 8
S5Brunner0Tkaczyk3n = 3Tkaczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrunnerTkaczykB − TBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.140.9−7.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 562 vs 976 / 147649.8%66.1%280 / 562 vs 976 / 1476Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykBrunner 4.40/Tkaczyk 1.16
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.5%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 04:20M. Brunner—11116822H. Tkaczyk—641111113
LAug 11 · 18:45M. Brunner—811178102H. Tkaczyk—1141511123
WAug 5 · 02:45M. Brunner—11114123H. Tkaczyk—7211101
LAug 4 · 23:05M. Brunner—8117101H. Tkaczyk—11811123
LJul 29 · 01:55M. Brunner—611811H. Tkaczyk—11911113
LJul 28 · 19:55M. Brunner—5940H. Tkaczyk—1111113
LJun 26 · 02:45M. Brunner—3101191H. Tkaczyk—11126113
LJun 25 · 23:05M. Brunner—51060H. Tkaczyk—1112113
LJun 24 · 02:45M. Brunner—112521H. Tkaczyk—81111113
LJun 23 · 23:05M. Brunner—912111052H. Tkaczyk—1110712113
M. Brunner10
WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113WSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191LSep 2 · 24:20A. Fomin1.6871111113M. Brunner2.07117621WSep 1 · 23:05M. Brunner2.201411113K. Gudzik1.5712740LSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113LSep 1 · 20:20M. Brunner2.5081311882A. Fomin1.451111811113LSep 1 · 17:30M. Brunner1.417111381A. Barton2.6011715113LAug 26 · 04:20J. Zelezik2.16391111113M. Brunner1.6311113882
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113WSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241WSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113
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