TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13061407
Played Sep 2Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117811119––
Aleksander Barton
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:53 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeAleksander Barton to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
116117811119––
H2H Marian Brunner 2–1 Aleksander Barton Aleksander Barton has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:53What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Brunner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1230 vs Barton 1075
Brunner
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 20% vs Barton 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 20% vs Barton 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner -1 · Barton +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Brunner) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 1.60 / Barton 2.15
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Brunner)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13061407
Brunner1.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 70 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 58 of 72
Barton2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog16% won 32 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrunner2wins
AwayBarton1wins
Brunner leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brunner2Barton1n = 3Brunner took 2 of 3
S2Brunner2Barton1n = 3Brunner took 2 of 3
S3Brunner2Barton1n = 3Brunner took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrunnerBartonBrunner − BartonBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.031.7+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 567 vs 81 / 36749.6%22.1%281 / 567 vs 81 / 367Avg sets wonper match2.01.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.531.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrunnerBrunner 1.60/Barton 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Brunner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brunner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 1 · 17:30M. Brunner—7111381A. Barton—11715113
WJun 10 · 02:45M. Brunner—1211113A. Barton—10380
WJun 9 · 23:05M. Brunner—11511113A. Barton—611761
M. Brunner10
WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113LSep 2 · 24:20A. Fomin1.6871111113M. Brunner2.07117621WSep 1 · 23:05M. Brunner2.201411113K. Gudzik1.5712740LSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113LSep 1 · 20:20M. Brunner2.5081311882A. Fomin1.451111811113LSep 1 · 18:45M. Brunner4.4011981272H. Tkaczyk1.165111110113LSep 1 · 17:30M. Brunner1.417111381A. Barton2.6011715113LAug 26 · 04:20J. Zelezik2.16391111113M. Brunner1.6311113882
A. Barton10
LSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly2.10114611113A. Barton1.6791111672LSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112LSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792LSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 4 · 05:05A. Barton2.90791181A. Staniczek1.3511114113LSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113LSep 4 · 02:20A. Barton6.506450Z. Nocun1.071111113LSep 4 · 24:45A. Barton6.505780J. Zelezik1.071111113WSep 1 · 17:30M. Brunner1.417111381A. Barton2.6011715113
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