TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085401
Played Sep 6Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
3.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113811––––
Henryk Tkaczyk
Away
1.27
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:19 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
8111113811––––
H2H Andriej Fomin 9–37 Henryk Tkaczyk Andriej Fomin has won 9 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:19What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-37 in 46
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 28 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1447 vs Tkaczyk 1673
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 60% vs Tkaczyk 80%
Tkaczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 40% vs Tkaczyk 70%
Tkaczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +2 · Tkaczyk +4
Tkaczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (30%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 3.30 / Tkaczyk 1.27
Signal prob.22% / 79%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13085401
Fomin3.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 70 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back36% 27 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Tkaczyk1.27
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 386 of 559
Up 2–0, closes it94% 220 of 234
Up 1–0, closes it85% 298 of 351
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin3wins
AwayTkaczyk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin60%3 of 5
AwayTkaczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin5Tkaczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Fomin3Tkaczyk7n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S3Fomin3Tkaczyk7n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S4Fomin2Tkaczyk4n = 6Tkaczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominTkaczykF − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.738.7−5.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 881 vs 996 / 149558.2%66.6%513 / 881 vs 996 / 1495Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykFomin 3.30/Tkaczyk 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.5%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin—611961H. Tkaczyk—11711113
LSep 2 · 01:30A. Fomin—79110H. Tkaczyk—1111133
LSep 1 · 21:05A. Fomin—11135892H. Tkaczyk—7111111113
LAug 31 · 18:30A. Fomin—1112891H. Tkaczyk—61411113
LAug 7 · 03:05A. Fomin—10730H. Tkaczyk—1211113
LAug 6 · 21:05A. Fomin—481161H. Tkaczyk—11118113
LAug 3 · 21:10A. Fomin—5840H. Tkaczyk—1111113
WJul 2 · 05:05A. Fomin—12611113H. Tkaczyk—1011981
WJul 1 · 20:45A. Fomin—127911113H. Tkaczyk—101111852
WJun 29 · 18:55A. Fomin—1311123H. Tkaczyk—117100
A. Fomin10
WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113LSep 3 · 01:45A. Fomin2.0051170M. Lewczuk1.731113113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471WSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113WSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113WSep 5 · 21:35A. Krezel2.705138101H. Tkaczyk1.39111111123LSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152LSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241WSep 5 · 15:35A. Krezel2.6041113962H. Tkaczyk1.411131111113WSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113
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