TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13063925
Played Sep 3Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113711––––
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndriej Fomin above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 54.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Andriej Fomin 9–10 Miroslaw Lewczuk Andriej Fomin has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1441 vs Lewczuk 1526
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 60% vs Lewczuk 100%
Lewczuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 70% vs Lewczuk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Lewczuk +5
Lewczuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.00 / Lewczuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lewczuk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13063925
Fomin2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 69 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back33% 25 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Lewczuk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 165 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it83% 124 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin6wins
AwayLewczuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin66.7%4 of 6
AwayLewczuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin6Lewczuk4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Fomin3Lewczuk7n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S3Fomin6Lewczuk4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Fomin7Lewczuk0n = 7Fomin took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominLewczukF − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.434.1+3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 872 vs 502 / 95958.4%52.4%509 / 872 vs 502 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukFomin 2.00/Lewczuk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 05:05A. Fomin—51040M. Lewczuk—1112113
WAug 25 · 24:30A. Fomin—111111113M. Lewczuk—613731
WAug 24 · 18:55A. Fomin—81113113M. Lewczuk—1171111
WAug 21 · 03:05A. Fomin—91111113M. Lewczuk—118921
LAug 20 · 21:05A. Fomin—11861192M. Lewczuk—811118113
WAug 7 · 24:10A. Fomin—11911123M. Lewczuk—8119101
WAug 6 · 20:20A. Fomin—1111113M. Lewczuk—8250
WJun 15 · 19:10A. Fomin—11711113M. Lewczuk—911761
LMar 22 · 24:35A. Fomin—15461142M. Lewczuk—1311113113
LMar 21 · 18:35A. Fomin—10780M. Lewczuk—1211113
A. Fomin10
LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113LSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360WSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192LSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113WSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132LSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.44841111143G. Mucha2.63111174122LSep 6 · 16:15M. Guzik1.501111113M. Lewczuk2.509920WSep 6 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.731111113J. Skorupa2.005860
Upcoming Matches
A. Fomin
Nothing scheduled
M. Lewczuk4 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 16:15M. Lewczuk—A. Kubiak——Sep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—J. Skorupa——Sep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk—M. Krutak——Sep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 21:20M. Lewczuk—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 7 · 22:10M. Lewczuk—J. Zelezik——Sep 7 · 23:10M. Lewczuk—J. Skorupa——Sep 8 · 24:10M. Lewczuk—M. Krutak——Sep 8 · 01:10M. Lewczuk—A. Kubiak——
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