TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065466
Played Sep 3Finished
Zbigniew Nocun
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315611711––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.21
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 74.0% is still 74.0%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
74.0%
74.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
1315611711––––
H2H Zbigniew Nocun 1–19 Dariusz Molenda Zbigniew Nocun has won 1 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:47What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (77%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-19 in 20
Molenda
Correct
gap of 18 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nocun 1450 vs Molenda 1631
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nocun 80% vs Molenda 100%
Molenda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nocun 50% vs Molenda 90%
Molenda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nocun +1 · Molenda +5
Molenda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molenda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNocun 4.00 / Molenda 1.21
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Molenda)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13065466
Nocun4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Molenda1.21
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite82% won 119 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it98% 79 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it92% 103 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNocun0wins
AwayMolenda10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMolenda leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNocunn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMolenda100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nocun1Molenda9n = 10Molenda took 9 of 10
S2Nocun3Molenda7n = 10Molenda took 7 of 10
S3Nocun3Molenda7n = 10Molenda took 7 of 10
S4Nocun2Molenda3n = 5Molenda took 3 of 5
S5Nocun0Molenda4n = 4Molenda took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricNocunMolendaN − MBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.440.3−8.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNocunMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1067 vs 210 / 26559.8%79.3%638 / 1067 vs 210 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.22.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaNocun 4.00/Molenda 1.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.1%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 19:10Z. Nocun—6560D. Molenda—1111113
LAug 4 · 19:10Z. Nocun—81070D. Molenda—1112113
LJul 30 · 19:10Z. Nocun—111111752D. Molenda—139211113
LJul 28 · 20:45Z. Nocun—12980D. Molenda—1411113
LJul 23 · 18:20Z. Nocun—11971172D. Molenda—811118113
LJul 21 · 19:10Z. Nocun—1211631D. Molenda—14611113
LJul 14 · 19:10Z. Nocun—7680D. Molenda—1111113
LJul 7 · 22:20Z. Nocun—911111072D. Molenda—118312113
LJun 25 · 19:10Z. Nocun—6260D. Molenda—1111113
LMay 28 · 22:20Z. Nocun—63111262D. Molenda—1111910113
Z. Nocun10
LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171WSep 6 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.67119119113J. Zelezik2.1031191162
D. Molenda10
LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WSep 1 · 18:20A. Fomin2.6041141272D. Molenda1.421191110113WAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik4.654770D. Molenda1.141111113
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