TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13060472
Played Sep 1Finished
Dariusz Molenda
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115115611115––
Krystian Gudzik
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
115115611115––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Molenda 1600 vs Gudzik 1435
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molenda 100% vs Gudzik 60%
Molenda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molenda 90% vs Gudzik 50%
Molenda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molenda +5 · Gudzik +1
Molenda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gudzik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolenda 1.25 / Gudzik 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Molenda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13060472
Molenda1.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite81% won 118 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it92% 101 of 110
Gudzik3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 7 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolendaGudzikBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 262 vs 28 / 5279%53.9%207 / 262 vs 28 / 52Avg sets wonper match2.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
MolendaMolenda 1.25/Gudzik 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molenda won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Molenda10
LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WSep 1 · 18:20A. Fomin2.6041141272D. Molenda1.421191110113WAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik4.654770D. Molenda1.141111113
K. Gudzik10
LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113LSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113LSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113LSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113LSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151WSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241LSep 5 · 16:00K. Gudzik2.25117871A. Fomin1.5491111113
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