TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13066406
Played Sep 2Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118811411116119
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:30 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
118811411116119
H2H Janus Slawomir 3–1 Jakub Skorupa Jakub Skorupa has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skorupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Slawomir
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1415 vs Skorupa 1331
Slawomir
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 40% vs Skorupa 20%
Slawomir
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 50% vs Skorupa 20%
Slawomir
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +2 · Skorupa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.90 / Skorupa 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skorupa)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13066406
Slawomir1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Skorupa1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 142 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it75% 92 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSlawomir3wins
AwaySkorupa1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderSlawomir leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomirn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySkorupa33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir1Skorupa3n = 4Skorupa took 3 of 4
S2Slawomir3Skorupa1n = 4Slawomir took 3 of 4
S3Slawomir2Skorupa2n = 4split evenly
S4Slawomir1Skorupa3n = 4Skorupa took 3 of 4
S5Slawomir3Skorupa0n = 3Slawomir took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSlawomirSkorupaSlawomir − SkorupaBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match45.850.8−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 118 vs 285 / 58655.1%48.6%65 / 118 vs 285 / 586Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaSlawomir 1.90/Skorupa 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slawomir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 26 · 19:55J. Slawomir—1111841J. Skorupa—13911113
WAug 24 · 04:25J. Slawomir—4111412113J. Skorupa—117121492
WAug 17 · 06:45J. Slawomir—413414113J. Skorupa—1111111292
WAug 3 · 07:10J. Slawomir—1310116113J. Skorupa—111291192
J. Slawomir10
WSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591WSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491WSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112WSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113LSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 2 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.8591151292Z. Nocun1.801181110113WSep 2 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.931111113K. Gudzik1.753580WSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.7631111113A. Staniczek1.90114991LAug 31 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.6558110A. Fomin1.401111133
J. Skorupa10
LSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111LSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113LSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113WSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762WSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791LSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442LSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171LSep 6 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.731111113J. Skorupa2.005860
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