TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13051173
Played Aug 31Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411117811611––
Michal Wolny
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:56 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Wolny to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
411117811611––
H2H Janus Slawomir 3–5 Michal Wolny Janus Slawomir has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Wolny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Wolny
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1432 vs Wolny 1409
Slawomir
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 60% vs Wolny 80%
Wolny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 60% vs Wolny 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +2 · Wolny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wolny) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.90 / Wolny 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wolny)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13051173
Slawomir1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 26 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Wolny1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 57 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSlawomir3wins
AwayWolny5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderWolny leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomir66.7%2 of 3
AwayWolny80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir3Wolny5n = 8Wolny took 5 of 8
S2Slawomir4Wolny4n = 8split evenly
S3Slawomir5Wolny3n = 8Slawomir took 5 of 8
S4Slawomir2Wolny2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricSlawomirWolnyS − WBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match36.535.5+1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 113 vs 275 / 57055.8%48.3%63 / 113 vs 275 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolnySlawomir 1.90/Wolny 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wolny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wolny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 24 · 06:45J. Slawomir—5670M. Wolny—1111113
LAug 10 · 05:35J. Slawomir—7813111M. Wolny—111111133
WAug 3 · 04:00J. Slawomir—1211113M. Wolny—10480
LJul 29 · 17:55J. Slawomir—115100M. Wolny—1311123
LJul 27 · 05:35J. Slawomir—311111292M. Wolny—114714113
WJul 22 · 17:55J. Slawomir—151211113M. Wolny—1710861
LJul 20 · 07:10J. Slawomir—116101192M. Wolny—411126113
WJul 13 · 07:10J. Slawomir—1111113M. Wolny—4920
J. Slawomir10
WSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591WSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491WSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112WSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113LSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 2 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.8591151292Z. Nocun1.801181110113WSep 2 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.931111113K. Gudzik1.753580WSep 2 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.90118411113J. Skorupa1.8081111692WSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.7631111113A. Staniczek1.90114991
M. Wolny10
LSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113WSep 4 · 02:45M. Wolny1.64711117113A. Staniczek2.1411381112LSep 4 · 01:10M. Wolny1.831011411122J. Skorupa1.87129111143LSep 4 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.50111011123M. Wolny2.355125101
Upcoming Matches
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M. Wolny
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