TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093366
Played Sep 7Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.18
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119116––––
Mateusz Karpiuk
Away
4.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
113119116––––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 5–1 Mateusz Karpiuk Mateusz Karpiuk has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (78%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1589 vs Karpiuk 1296
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 293 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 80% vs Karpiuk 60%
Warzecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 80% vs Karpiuk 40%
Warzecha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha -1 · Karpiuk +3
Karpiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (24%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.18 / Karpiuk 4.10
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Warzecha)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093366
Warzecha1.18
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 351 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 202 of 209
Up 1–0, closes it88% 264 of 300
Karpiuk4.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 58 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeWarzecha5wins
AwayKarpiuk1wins
4 of 6 to a deciderWarzecha leads 5–1, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha75%3 of 4
AwayKarpiukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha4Karpiuk2n = 6Warzecha took 4 of 6
S2Warzecha4Karpiuk2n = 6Warzecha took 4 of 6
S3Warzecha4Karpiuk2n = 6Warzecha took 4 of 6
S4Warzecha2Karpiuk3n = 5Karpiuk took 3 of 5
S5Warzecha3Karpiuk1n = 4Warzecha took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricWarzechaKarpiukW − KBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match44.538.8+5.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaKarpiukBasisWin rate · lifetime849 / 1202 vs 115 / 25470.6%45.3%849 / 1202 vs 115 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.18/Karpiuk 4.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.1%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 20 · 01:10M. Warzecha—1111113M. Karpiuk—9850
LAug 19 · 17:30M. Warzecha—111171072M. Karpiuk—971112113
WAug 13 · 01:10M. Warzecha—21114113M. Karpiuk—1131211
WAug 12 · 17:30M. Warzecha—671211113M. Karpiuk—111110892
WAug 11 · 01:50M. Warzecha—139119123M. Karpiuk—1111711102
WAug 10 · 18:10M. Warzecha—1111610113M. Karpiuk—34111252
M. Warzecha10
LSep 7 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.27811981A. Krezel3.3011811113WSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113WSep 3 · 03:30Z. Nocun2.707680M. Warzecha1.391111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.091111113A. Staniczek5.806770WSep 3 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.321111113J. Skorupa3.003720WSep 3 · 24:20K. Gudzik2.90118311142M. Warzecha1.35511119163WSep 2 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.0811116113A. Staniczek6.10811151WSep 2 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.571111113Z. Nocun2.257980WSep 2 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.331111113K. Gudzik2.958770LSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113
M. Karpiuk10
LSep 7 · 17:35M. Karpiuk1.8591110111A. Krezel1.8511712133WSep 7 · 15:35M. Karpiuk1.7213814113A. Staniczek1.9711111281WSep 1 · 01:50Z. Nocun1.61711771M. Karpiuk2.2011611113WSep 1 · 24:50M. Karpiuk1.919111111113J. Skorupa1.8011813582LAug 31 · 23:50M. Lewczuk1.40111110113M. Karpiuk2.75951291LAug 31 · 22:50H. Tkaczyk1.2511811113M. Karpiuk3.75511751WAug 31 · 21:20J. Michalik1.8311911762M. Karpiuk1.83811711113LAug 31 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.4441111113M. Karpiuk2.63117431LAug 31 · 19:20M. Karpiuk2.1012911772J. Skorupa1.671011711113LAug 31 · 18:10Z. Nocun1.731111113M. Karpiuk2.005850
Upcoming Matches
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