TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093696
Played Sep 7Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.32
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911116911118
Andrzej Krezel
Away
3.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched — 76.5% is still 76.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
76.5%
76.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
118911116911118
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 1–2 Andrzej Krezel Miroslaw Warzecha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Krezel beat Warzecha 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:00What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (70%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1539 vs Krezel 1414
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 60% vs Krezel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 70% vs Krezel 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha +1 · Krezel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.32 / Krezel 3.10
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13093696
Warzecha1.32
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 351 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 202 of 209
Up 1–0, closes it88% 264 of 300
Krezel3.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 46 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back8% 8 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWarzecha1wins
AwayKrezel2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKrezel leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha1Krezel2n = 3Krezel took 2 of 3
S2Warzecha2Krezel1n = 3Warzecha took 2 of 3
S3Warzecha2Krezel1n = 3Warzecha took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWarzechaKrezelW − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.338.0+1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime852 / 1207 vs 67 / 21770.6%30.9%852 / 1207 vs 67 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.41.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.034.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.32/Krezel 3.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.9%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 7 · 15:10M. Warzecha—811981A. Krezel—11811113
WAug 20 · 03:30M. Warzecha—1111133A. Krezel—38110
LAug 19 · 21:30M. Warzecha—610111282A. Krezel—1112710113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 7 · 22:00M. Machelski3.656670M. Warzecha1.211111113LSep 7 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.2269131172A. Staniczek3.601111118113WSep 7 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1511138113D. Maszczynski4.507111181LSep 7 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.405940J. Slawomir2.751111113WSep 7 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.181111113M. Karpiuk4.103960LSep 7 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.27811981A. Krezel3.3011811113WSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113WSep 3 · 03:30Z. Nocun2.707680M. Warzecha1.391111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.091111113A. Staniczek5.806770WSep 3 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.321111113J. Skorupa3.003720
A. Krezel10
WSep 7 · 23:35M. Karpiuk1.75211961A. Krezel1.9511611113LSep 7 · 21:10J. Michalik1.8841212113A. Krezel1.8211101081LSep 7 · 20:20J. Slawomir1.53117115113A. Krezel2.2381181152WSep 7 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.01611111162A. Krezel1.66111375113WSep 7 · 17:35M. Karpiuk1.8591110111A. Krezel1.8511712133WSep 7 · 16:50D. Maszczynski2.605780A. Krezel1.411111113WSep 7 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.27811981A. Krezel3.3011811113LSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113WSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291
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