TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092642
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Machelski
Home
3.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611711––––
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.21
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
611611711––––
H2H Michal Machelski 14–67 Miroslaw Warzecha Michal Machelski has won 14 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (75%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-67 in 81
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 53 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Machelski 1328 vs Warzecha 1531
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machelski 60% vs Warzecha 40%
Machelski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machelski 40% vs Warzecha 70%
Warzecha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machelski -2 · Warzecha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachelski 3.65 / Warzecha 1.21
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Warzecha)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13092642
Machelski3.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 116 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back17% 34 of 200
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 120
Warzecha1.21
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 351 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 202 of 209
Up 1–0, closes it88% 264 of 300
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachelski1wins
AwayWarzecha9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachelski25%1 of 4
AwayWarzecha100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machelski4Warzecha6n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S2Machelski2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S3Machelski4Warzecha6n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S4Machelski0Warzecha8n = 8Warzecha took 8 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachelskiWarzechaM − WBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.641.3−7.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachelskiWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 1136 vs 851 / 120637%70.6%420 / 1136 vs 851 / 1206Avg sets wonper match1.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaMachelski 3.65/Warzecha 1.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 24:20M. Machelski—281171M. Warzecha—11114113
WAug 26 · 20:20M. Machelski—1191211113M. Warzecha—711101382
LAug 13 · 24:20M. Machelski—1111371M. Warzecha—13711113
LAug 12 · 20:20M. Machelski—17390M. Warzecha—1911113
LAug 6 · 03:05M. Machelski—117781M. Warzecha—81111113
LAug 5 · 21:05M. Machelski—115115102M. Warzecha—411911123
LJul 27 · 22:00M. Machelski—7115101M. Warzecha—11811123
LJul 26 · 01:10M. Machelski—681181M. Warzecha—11116113
LJul 25 · 19:10M. Machelski—114961M. Warzecha—91111113
LJul 20 · 22:00M. Machelski—5890M. Warzecha—1111113
M. Machelski10
LSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591LSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952WSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792WSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski2.256720A. Krezel1.571111113LSep 4 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.83111195113M. Machelski1.8379111182WSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:55M. Machelski2.50115331H. Tkaczyk1.5091111113LSep 3 · 21:45M. Machelski3.50119551M. Guzik1.2871111113
M. Warzecha10
LSep 7 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.2269131172A. Staniczek3.601111118113WSep 7 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1511138113D. Maszczynski4.507111181LSep 7 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.405940J. Slawomir2.751111113WSep 7 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.181111113M. Karpiuk4.103960LSep 7 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.27811981A. Krezel3.3011811113WSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113WSep 3 · 03:30Z. Nocun2.707680M. Warzecha1.391111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.091111113A. Staniczek5.806770WSep 3 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.321111113J. Skorupa3.003720WSep 3 · 24:20K. Gudzik2.90118311142M. Warzecha1.35511119163
Upcoming Matches
M. Machelski
M. Warzecha
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.