TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098918
Played Sep 9Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
1.77
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511116113119––
Marian Brunner
Away
1.87
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Delikatny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
511116113119––
H2H Kamil Delikatny 20–11 Marian Brunner Marian Brunner has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Brunner beat Delikatny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (51%)
Delikatny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-11 in 31
Delikatny
Correct
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1336 vs Brunner 1264
Delikatny
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 20% vs Brunner 40%
Brunner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 30% vs Brunner 50%
Brunner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny -1 · Brunner -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brunner) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brunner form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 1.77 / Brunner 1.87
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brunner)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13098918
Delikatny1.77
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 55 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it82% 40 of 49
Brunner1.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 48 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDelikatny6wins
AwayBrunner4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDelikatny leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDelikatny57.1%4 of 7
AwayBrunner33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Delikatny7Brunner3n = 10Delikatny took 7 of 10
S2Delikatny5Brunner5n = 10split evenly
S3Delikatny6Brunner4n = 10Delikatny took 6 of 10
S4Delikatny4Brunner2n = 6Delikatny took 4 of 6
S5Delikatny1Brunner2n = 3Brunner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDelikatnyBrunnerD − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.133.1+5.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 469 vs 282 / 56648%49.8%225 / 469 vs 282 / 566Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrunnerDelikatny 1.77/Brunner 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brunner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Delikatny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 20:20K. Delikatny—10460M. Brunner—1211113
WAug 5 · 24:20K. Delikatny—51111123M. Brunner—1198101
WAug 4 · 20:20K. Delikatny—1111113M. Brunner—8390
LJul 29 · 03:05K. Delikatny—15611772M. Brunner—1311711113
WJul 28 · 21:05K. Delikatny—971111113M. Brunner—11112442
LJul 8 · 24:20K. Delikatny—1161061M. Brunner—41112113
LJul 7 · 20:20K. Delikatny—1310811102M. Brunner—1112116123
WJun 10 · 24:20K. Delikatny—11118133M. Brunner—9311111
WJun 9 · 20:20K. Delikatny—1111113M. Brunner—3170
WFeb 19 · 04:05K. Delikatny—1111113M. Brunner—8830
K. Delikatny10
LSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113LSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113WSep 8 · 21:05J. Michalik1.851012731K. Delikatny1.85121011113LSep 8 · 20:20M. Brunner1.901211113K. Delikatny1.8010460LSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113LSep 8 · 18:20K. Delikatny3.0010650H. Tkaczyk1.331211113LAug 14 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.894790J. Cyndera1.781111113LAug 14 · 03:05A. Staniczek1.9511117113K. Delikatny1.75881161WAug 14 · 02:20W. Stechly2.50512110K. Delikatny1.441114133WAug 14 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.75912128113M. Karpiuk1.901110101172
M. Brunner10
WSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151LSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.801111921A. Krezel1.9071311113LSep 8 · 21:30M. Brunner3.257117161H. Tkaczyk1.3011611183WSep 8 · 20:20M. Brunner1.901211113K. Delikatny1.8010460LSep 8 · 18:45M. Brunner2.008790J. Michalik1.671111113WSep 8 · 17:30M. Brunner1.3011311113A. Barton3.40411461WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113WSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191
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