TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097817
Played Sep 8Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711911––––
Jerzy Michalik
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
811711911––––
H2H Marian Brunner 33–29 Jerzy Michalik Jerzy Michalik has won 29 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:51What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (54%)
Michalik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-29 in 62
Brunner
Wrong
gap of 4 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1262 vs Michalik 1466
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 80% vs Michalik 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 50% vs Michalik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner +3 · Michalik +2
Brunner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 2.00 / Michalik 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Michalik)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13097817
Brunner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 48 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Michalik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 151 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it95% 77 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it77% 109 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrunner4wins
AwayMichalik6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrunnern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMichalik55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brunner1Michalik9n = 10Michalik took 9 of 10
S2Brunner4Michalik6n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S3Brunner3Michalik7n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S4Brunner4Michalik3n = 7Brunner took 4 of 7
S5Brunner4Michalik1n = 5Brunner took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrunnerMichalikB − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.939.6−1.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerMichalikBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 562 vs 537 / 114550%46.9%281 / 562 vs 537 / 1145Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikBrunner 2.00/Michalik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 03:30M. Brunner—311128113J. Michalik—115101112
WAug 12 · 03:30M. Brunner—511511113J. Michalik—11511882
LAug 5 · 03:30M. Brunner—10990J. Michalik—1211113
LJul 31 · 24:10M. Brunner—511691J. Michalik—11911113
WJul 30 · 20:30M. Brunner—911711113J. Michalik—11711782
LJul 29 · 24:45M. Brunner—9990J. Michalik—1111113
LJul 22 · 03:30M. Brunner—119881J. Michalik—51111113
LJul 15 · 03:30M. Brunner—71580J. Michalik—1117113
LJul 8 · 03:30M. Brunner—67111152J. Michalik—111157113
WJun 26 · 24:20M. Brunner—981111113J. Michalik—11119632
M. Brunner10
WSep 8 · 17:30M. Brunner1.3011311113A. Barton3.40411461WSep 2 · 04:20K. Gudzik1.7275111132M. Brunner1.96111175113WSep 2 · 03:30T. Kordaszewski2.9581090M. Brunner1.321112113LSep 2 · 02:45M. Brunner3.8541190H. Tkaczyk1.211113113WSep 2 · 01:10M. Brunner1.6011118113A. Barton2.15671191LSep 2 · 24:20A. Fomin1.6871111113M. Brunner2.07117621WSep 1 · 23:05M. Brunner2.201411113K. Gudzik1.5712740LSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113LSep 1 · 20:20M. Brunner2.5081311882A. Fomin1.451111811113LSep 1 · 18:45M. Brunner4.4011981272H. Tkaczyk1.165111110113
J. Michalik10
WSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962WSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670LSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Michalik1.601111113M. Machelski2.107750WSep 7 · 22:25J. Michalik1.7311138113M. Karpiuk1.929111181WSep 7 · 21:10J. Michalik1.8841212113A. Krezel1.8211101081LSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Michalik3.4051111113M. Guzik1.30116581LSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:10J. Michalik1.91115916132M. Lewczuk1.808111114153
Upcoming Matches
M. Brunner
Sep 8 · 20:20M. Brunner1.90K. Delikatny1.80—Sep 8 · 21:30M. Brunner3.25H. Tkaczyk1.30—Sep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.80A. Krezel1.90—Sep 9 · 24:20M. Brunner1.87K. Delikatny1.77—Sep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.21A. Barton3.65—Sep 9 · 02:45M. Brunner1.77A. Krezel1.87—Sep 9 · 03:30M. Brunner3.10H. Tkaczyk1.29—Sep 9 · 04:20M. Brunner1.63M. Machelski2.05—
J. Michalik
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