TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093674
Played Sep 8Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112116117––––
Adam Staniczek
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:56 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
112116117––––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 51–26 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 26 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Michalik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-26 in 77
Michalik
Correct
gap of 25 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1447 vs Staniczek 1261
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 60% vs Staniczek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 60% vs Staniczek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -1 · Staniczek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.50 / Staniczek 2.30
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Michalik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13093674
Michalik1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 151 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it95% 76 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it77% 109 of 142
Staniczek2.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 113 of 437
Down 0–1, comes back11% 31 of 277
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 206
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik7wins
AwayStaniczek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik83.3%5 of 6
AwayStaniczek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik6Staniczek4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S2Michalik8Staniczek2n = 10Michalik took 8 of 10
S3Michalik7Staniczek3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S4Michalik3Staniczek3n = 6split evenly
S5Michalik1Staniczek2n = 3Staniczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikStaniczekM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.634.7+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1151 vs 369 / 100846.7%36.6%538 / 1151 vs 369 / 1008Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.433.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikMichalik 1.50/Staniczek 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 03:05J. Michalik—8780A. Staniczek—1111113
LAug 27 · 21:05J. Michalik—61213762A. Staniczek—11101111113
LAug 12 · 21:00J. Michalik—11911762A. Staniczek—911911113
WAug 12 · 16:35J. Michalik—1111113A. Staniczek—8470
WAug 7 · 03:55J. Michalik—121110113A. Staniczek—1091261
WAug 6 · 21:55J. Michalik—1611114113A. Staniczek—18991172
WAug 3 · 21:35J. Michalik—111112113A. Staniczek—841451
WJul 24 · 03:55J. Michalik—1111113A. Staniczek—2840
WJul 23 · 21:55J. Michalik—1111113A. Staniczek—5750
WJul 23 · 24:35J. Michalik—101112113A. Staniczek—1261091
J. Michalik10
LSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Michalik1.601111113M. Machelski2.107750WSep 7 · 22:25J. Michalik1.7311138113M. Karpiuk1.929111181WSep 7 · 21:10J. Michalik1.8841212113A. Krezel1.8211101081LSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Michalik3.4051111113M. Guzik1.30116581LSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:10J. Michalik1.91115916132M. Lewczuk1.808111114153WSep 3 · 21:00J. Michalik1.571214113A. Krezel2.25101280WSep 3 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.835550J. Michalik1.831111113
A. Staniczek10
LSep 8 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.01991471A. Krezel1.66111112113LSep 8 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.191112113A. Staniczek3.9031050WSep 7 · 23:10M. Machelski1.9516150A. Staniczek1.751811113WSep 7 · 21:35M. Karpiuk1.60513581A. Staniczek2.10111111113WSep 7 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.2269131172A. Staniczek3.601111118113LSep 7 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.01611111162A. Krezel1.66111375113WSep 7 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.40511681A. Staniczek1.5011911113LSep 7 · 17:10J. Slawomir1.5481111113A. Staniczek2.25117781LSep 7 · 15:35M. Karpiuk1.7213814113A. Staniczek1.9711111281WSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Michalik1 of 2 neutral
A. Staniczek
Nothing scheduled
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