TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093681
Played Sep 8Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5118111171311711
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.31
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:56 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
5118111171311711
H2H Jerzy Michalik 21–50 Miroslaw Warzecha Jerzy Michalik has won 21 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (70%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-50 in 71
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 29 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1456 vs Warzecha 1554
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 80% vs Warzecha 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 60% vs Warzecha 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik +3 · Warzecha +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 3.00 / Warzecha 1.31
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Warzecha)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093681
Michalik3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 117 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back18% 34 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 109
Warzecha1.31
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 351 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 202 of 209
Up 1–0, closes it88% 264 of 300
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik2wins
AwayWarzecha8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWarzecha87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S2Michalik4Warzecha6n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S3Michalik1Warzecha9n = 10Warzecha took 9 of 10
S4Michalik3Warzecha4n = 7Warzecha took 4 of 7
S5Michalik2Warzecha1n = 3Michalik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikWarzechaM − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.241.4−7.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1150 vs 854 / 120946.8%70.6%538 / 1150 vs 854 / 1209Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaMichalik 3.00/Warzecha 1.31
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 30 · 01:10J. Michalik—77110M. Warzecha—1111133
WJul 29 · 17:30J. Michalik—117411143M. Warzecha—911119122
LJul 10 · 05:05J. Michalik—6411111M. Warzecha—11119133
WMay 28 · 02:45J. Michalik—711511113M. Warzecha—11911982
LMay 27 · 23:05J. Michalik—6770M. Warzecha—1111113
LMay 23 · 01:35J. Michalik—8111071M. Warzecha—11812113
LMay 22 · 19:35J. Michalik—11671172M. Warzecha—411119113
LMay 4 · 04:25J. Michalik—7111071M. Warzecha—11912113
LApr 30 · 04:40J. Michalik—9111161M. Warzecha—11313113
LApr 29 · 22:40J. Michalik—9950M. Warzecha—1111113
J. Michalik10
WSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670WSep 8 · 24:00J. Michalik1.601111113M. Machelski2.107750WSep 7 · 22:25J. Michalik1.7311138113M. Karpiuk1.929111181WSep 7 · 21:10J. Michalik1.8841212113A. Krezel1.8211101081LSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Michalik3.4051111113M. Guzik1.30116581LSep 3 · 23:45J. Michalik1.8311811111M. Machelski1.8313118133LSep 3 · 22:10J. Michalik1.91115916132M. Lewczuk1.808111114153WSep 3 · 21:00J. Michalik1.571214113A. Krezel2.25101280WSep 3 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.835550J. Michalik1.831111113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 8 · 02:00M. Karpiuk3.251081171M. Warzecha1.2612118113WSep 8 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.191112113A. Staniczek3.9031050WSep 7 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.32119119113A. Krezel3.1081161182WSep 7 · 22:00M. Machelski3.656670M. Warzecha1.211111113LSep 7 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.2269131172A. Staniczek3.601111118113WSep 7 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1511138113D. Maszczynski4.507111181LSep 7 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.405940J. Slawomir2.751111113WSep 7 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.181111113M. Karpiuk4.103960LSep 7 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.27811981A. Krezel3.3011811113WSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Michalik1 of 2 neutral
M. Warzecha
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