TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12429186
Played Aug 14Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112101210811117
Mateusz Karpiuk
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:01 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeKamil Delikatny to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
91112101210811117
H2H Kamil Delikatny 1–2 Mateusz Karpiuk Kamil Delikatny has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:01What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Delikatny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1398 vs Karpiuk 1399
Karpiuk
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 40% vs Karpiuk 60%
Karpiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 40% vs Karpiuk 70%
Karpiuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny -3 · Karpiuk +1
Delikatny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Delikatny) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Delikatny form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 1.75 / Karpiuk 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Delikatny)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #12429186
Delikatny1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 62 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it86% 48 of 56
Karpiuk1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 32 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDelikatny1wins
AwayKarpiuk2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKarpiuk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Delikatny1Karpiuk2n = 3Karpiuk took 2 of 3
S2Delikatny1Karpiuk2n = 3Karpiuk took 2 of 3
S3Delikatny2Karpiuk1n = 3Delikatny took 2 of 3
S4Delikatny2Karpiuk1n = 3Delikatny took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDelikatnyKarpiukD − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.740.7−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyKarpiukBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 480 vs 84 / 16947.1%49.7%226 / 480 vs 84 / 169Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DelikatnyDelikatny 1.75/Karpiuk 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Delikatny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Delikatny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 13 · 19:30K. Delikatny—11911113M. Karpiuk—611671
LAug 12 · 23:30K. Delikatny—1151161M. Karpiuk—13119113
LAug 12 · 19:10K. Delikatny—41151292M. Karpiuk—1151110113
K. Delikatny10
LSep 8 · 20:20M. Brunner1.901211113K. Delikatny1.8010460LSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113LSep 8 · 18:20K. Delikatny3.0010650H. Tkaczyk1.331211113LAug 14 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.894790J. Cyndera1.781111113LAug 14 · 03:05A. Staniczek1.9511117113K. Delikatny1.75881161WAug 14 · 02:20W. Stechly2.50512110K. Delikatny1.441114133LAug 14 · 24:20K. Delikatny2.069590M. Lewczuk1.661111113LAug 13 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.76115231J. Cyndera1.9091111113LAug 13 · 21:05A. Staniczek1.9511811113K. Delikatny1.74511581WAug 13 · 20:20M. Lewczuk1.3481112772K. Delikatny2.951151011113
M. Karpiuk10
LSep 8 · 02:00M. Karpiuk3.251081171M. Warzecha1.2612118113LSep 8 · 24:45M. Karpiuk1.80146118112M. Machelski1.911211711133LSep 7 · 23:35M. Karpiuk1.75211961A. Krezel1.9511611113LSep 7 · 22:25J. Michalik1.7311138113M. Karpiuk1.929111181LSep 7 · 21:35M. Karpiuk1.60513581A. Staniczek2.10111111113WSep 7 · 20:00M. Karpiuk1.60511118123D. Maszczynski2.15116411102LSep 7 · 18:45M. Karpiuk2.10671151J. Slawomir1.6011117113LSep 7 · 17:35M. Karpiuk1.8591110111A. Krezel1.8511712133LSep 7 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.181111113M. Karpiuk4.103960WSep 7 · 15:35M. Karpiuk1.7213814113A. Staniczek1.9711111281
Upcoming Matches
K. Delikatny
Sep 8 · 21:05K. Delikatny1.86J. Michalik1.80—Sep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.19A. Barton3.90—Sep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.77M. Brunner1.87—Sep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.69A. Krezel1.96—Sep 9 · 02:20K. Delikatny2.90H. Tkaczyk1.32—Sep 9 · 03:05K. Delikatny1.57M. Machelski2.17—Sep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.19A. Barton3.90—Sep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny—A. Fomin——
M. Karpiuk
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.