TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097033
Played Sep 8Finished
Michal Machelski
Home
1.96
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1125111178111214
Andrzej Krezel
Away
1.69
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:10 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeAndrzej Krezel to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1125111178111214
H2H Michal Machelski 0–3 Andrzej Krezel Michal Machelski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.69 (54%)
Krezel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Krezel
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Machelski 1294 vs Krezel 1435
Krezel
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machelski 20% vs Krezel 60%
Krezel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machelski 40% vs Krezel 60%
Krezel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machelski -1 · Krezel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krezel) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machelski form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachelski 1.96 / Krezel 1.69
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Krezel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13097033
Machelski1.96
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 118 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back17% 36 of 207
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 124
Krezel1.69
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 21 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it66% 19 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMachelski0wins
AwayKrezel3wins
Krezel leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachelskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKrezel100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machelski0Krezel3n = 3Krezel took 3 of 3
S2Machelski0Krezel3n = 3Krezel took 3 of 3
S3Machelski0Krezel3n = 3Krezel took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricMachelskiKrezelM − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match17.333.0−15.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachelskiKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 1141 vs 73 / 22636.9%32.3%421 / 1141 vs 73 / 226Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelMachelski 1.96/Krezel 1.69
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 8 · 02:20M. Machelski—8860A. Krezel—1111113
LSep 4 · 02:10M. Machelski—6720A. Krezel—1111113
LSep 3 · 20:05M. Machelski—3390A. Krezel—1111113
M. Machelski10
LSep 9 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.221111113M. Machelski3.558640LSep 8 · 02:20M. Machelski1.868860A. Krezel1.801111113WSep 8 · 24:45M. Karpiuk1.80146118112M. Machelski1.911211711133LSep 8 · 24:00J. Michalik1.601111113M. Machelski2.107750LSep 7 · 23:10M. Machelski1.9516150A. Staniczek1.751811113LSep 7 · 22:00M. Machelski3.656670M. Warzecha1.211111113LSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591LSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952WSep 7 · 04:50M. Machelski1.191191011113A. Barton4.0081112792
A. Krezel10
WSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.801111921A. Krezel1.9071311113WSep 8 · 21:55A. Krezel1.2411911113A. Barton3.40411581LSep 8 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.3611118113A. Krezel2.95441181WSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962WSep 8 · 02:20M. Machelski1.868860A. Krezel1.801111113WSep 8 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.01991471A. Krezel1.66111112113WSep 7 · 23:35M. Karpiuk1.75211961A. Krezel1.9511611113LSep 7 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.32119119113A. Krezel3.1081161182
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.